Here are some key trends and stats to parse before placing any bets on Baker Mayfield’s player props for Sunday’s game, which starts at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. Mayfield’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) and the Miami Dolphins (6-9) hit the field in Week 17 at Hard Rock Stadium.
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Baker Mayfield week 17 player propsMatchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami DolphinsTime: 1 p.m. ETDate: December 28, 2025Passing yards prop: Over 242.5 (-105)Rushing yards prop: Over 14.5 (-115)
National Football League odds courtesy of BetMGM. Odds updated Friday at 11:03 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Baker Mayfield passing stats and trendsSunday’s prop bet for Mayfield is 242.5 passing yards, 32.9 higher than his average of 209.6 on the season.In five of 15 matchups this season, he has thrown for more than 242.5 yards.Mayfield has fallen short of his season prop bet average (233.2 passing yards) by 23.6 yards per game.Mayfield has gone over his passing yards prop total in five of 15 opportunities this season.In 14 of 15 games this year, he has thrown a touchdown pass — and seven of those games included multiple TD passes.Mayfield has thrown an interception in seven of 15 games this season, with multiple picks in one of those games.Buccaneers vs. Dolphins stats and trendsThe 209.1 passing yards the Dolphins give up per game makes them the NFL’s 14th-ranked pass defense this season.The Buccaneers are totaling 198.3 passing yards per game on offense (22nd in the NFL), and they rank 26th defensively with 242.0 passing yards allowed per game.The Buccaneers rank 20th in run offense (116.9 rushing yards per game) and seventh in run defense (101.3 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.The Buccaneers are surrendering 6.0 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (26th in the NFL), while putting up 5.3 per play (24th in the league) on offense this season.
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