The New England Patriots (12-3) and the New York Jets (3-12) meet Sunday in Week 17 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Jets odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Patriots responded to 35-31 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 15 with an impressive road win in Week 16, knocking off the Baltimore Ravens 28-24 as 4-point underdogs as the Over (48) cashed. QB Drake Maye threw for 380 yards and 2 TDs, despite a fumble and interception. WR Stefon Diggs had 9 catches for 138 yards. New England has now won 11 of its last 12 games.

The Jets slid to a third straight loss in Week 16, falling 29-6 to the New Orleans Saints. New York failed to cover as 7-point road underdogs, and the under (40) cashed. The Jets managed just 195 total yards while surrendering 415. QB Brady Cook threw for 188 yards with an interception and lost a fumble.

The Patriots beat their AFC East rivals 27-14 in Week 11 and lead the all-time series 76-56-1.

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Patriots vs. Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:21 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots -900 (bet $900 to win $100) | Jets +600 (bet $100 to win $600)Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -13.5 (-110) | Jets +13.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)Patriots vs. Jets key injuries

Patriots

WR Kayshon Boutte (concussion) outWR Demario Douglas (hamstring) questionableRB TreVeyon Henderson (concussion) questionableWR Mack Hollins (abdomen) outLB Harold Landry (knee) outLB Robert Spillane (ankle) outDT Khyiris Tonga (foot) outDT Milton Williams (ankle) outLG Jared Wilson (concussion) outCB Charles Woods (foot) questionable

Jets

LB Francisco Mauigoa (neck) outDE Will McDonald IV (knee) outOL Xavier Newman-Johnson (knee) questionableTE Mason Taylor (neck) outDT Jay Tufele (foot) outPatriots vs. Jets picks and predictionsPrediction

Patriots 27, Jets 10

PASS.

The Patriots (-900) are hoping to clinch the division in Week 17, but I’m not interested in these odds obviously. I’ll take my wager to the spread.

BET PATRIOTS -13.5 (-110).

I don’t usually like laying big numbers in division games, but this one feels different. The Patriots are playing for something real — an AFC East title — and they’ve shown all season they know how to handle business. New England is balanced, efficient and well-coached, ranking top 10 on both sides of the ball, and the floor is simply high every week.

The Jets, meanwhile, are going the opposite direction. They’ve lost 3 straight games by at least 23 points, and the offense looks completely stuck. Cook hasn’t provided much spark under center, and New York has been overwhelmed even by average competition. Over the past 3 weeks, the Jets have allowed 37.0 points per game and haven’t shown the ability to respond once things start going sideways.

Maye is playing confidently, and this defense tackles well and forces opponents to earn everything. That combination travels, and the Patriots have already proven they’re comfortable away from home. I expect a fast start, clean possessions and constant pressure on a Jets team that hasn’t handled adversity well.

I get the hesitation with a big spread, but the quarterback gap is massive and motivation isn’t an issue. New England has too much on the line to let this linger. I’m laying the points and trusting the better team to separate.

BET UNDER 43 (-110).

These division games tend to bog down, and 7 of the last 10 meetings have stayed below the total, including the earlier matchup this season. The Jets offense is broken right now, averaging just 12 points over the last 3 games with little ability to sustain drives. New England brings a top-10 scoring defense that tackles well and stays disciplined. This sets up as a grind-it-out game that struggles to reach the number.

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