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NFL Overreactions Week 17

USAT’s Prince Grimes breaks down the best games of NFL Week 17 and the unfolding playoff picture.

Sports Seriously

The Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders play on Sunday, Jan. 4, at the Raiders’ Allegiant Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 18 schedule.

Which team will win the NFL Week 18 game?

Check out these NFL Week 18 picks and NFL Week 18 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 2:25 p.m. MST on CBS (stream with FUBO).

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite over the Raiders in NFL Week 18 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Kansas City is -275 on the moneyline, while Las Vegas is +220. The over/under (point total) is set at 36.5 points.

Watch Chiefs at Raiders live on FUBO (free trial)

Jeremy Cluff writes: “The Raiders have lost 10 straight games and are in line to have the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. It will be 11 straight after this game.”

The site’s formula predicts that the Chiefs will win the NFL Week 18 game against the Raiders.

ESPN: Chiefs have a 60.6% chance to beat Raiders on Sunday

The site gives the Raiders a 39% shot at winning the NFL Week 18 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Sportsbook Review: Bet the Raiders with the points vs Chiefs

C Jackson Cowart writes: “Both of these teams punted on the season weeks ago, and while the Raiders have been the worse football team this year, this feels like a lot of points in a meaningless Week 18 matchup with the road favorites relying on a third-string QB. I like the points in a classic ‘plug your nose’ betting spot.”

Sportsnaut: Las Vegas Raiders 17, Kansas City Chiefs 14

Matt Johnson writes: “We can think of nothing the Kansas City Chiefs would love more in Week 18 than to be the reason why the Las Vegas Raiders don’t have the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft? Besides, Kansas City has already put most of its top starters on injured reserve and certainly could find ‘issues’ to hold out other top players come Sunday. Meanwhile, Pete Carroll is fighting for his job and could see a victory in Week 18 as a potential Lovie Smith-caliber revenge against the franchise that may fire him.”

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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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