The New York Jets (3-13) visit the Buffalo Bills (11-5) Sunday for a 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) kickoff at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Jets vs. Bills odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
New York has dropped 4 games in a row and 6 of its last 7 after falling 42-10 against the New England Patriots last week and failing to cover as a 13-point home underdog with the Over (42.5) hitting. QB Brady Cook threw for just 152 yards and an interception while RB Breece Hall ran for 111 yards on 14 attempts with a TD.
Buffalo’s 4-game winning streak was snapped with a 13-12 loss against the Philadelphia Eagles last week, failing to cover as a 3-point home favorite with the Under (45) easily hitting. QB Josh Allen threw for 262 yards while punching in both of the Bills’ TDs on the ground. The Bills failed to cover a 2-point conversion on the final play of the game in the loss. Allen (foot) is expected to start the game to keep his second-longest active starts streak alive (121), but will likely sit to get him ready for the postseason.
The Bills beat the Jets 30-10 in Week 2.
Jets at Bills odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:54 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Jets +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Bills -425 (bet $425 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Jets +8 (-110) | Bills -8 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 37.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Jets at Bills key injuries
Jets
DE Michael Clemons (ankle) outRB Isaiah Davis (concussion) outRB Breece Hall (knee) questionableG Xavier Newman-Johnson (knee) outCB Brandon Stephens (neck) questionableCB Qwan’tez Stiggers (knee) outTE Mason Taylor (neck) outQB Tyrod Taylor (knee) questionableG Joe Tippmann (hip) questionableTE Jelani Woods (hamstring) out
Bills
LB Terrel Bernard (calf) outDE Joey Bosa (hamstring) questionableDT DaQuan Jones (calf) outTE Dalton Kincaid (knee) questionableDT Jordan Phillips (ankle) questionableS Jordan Poyer (hamstring) outJets at Bills picks and predictionsPrediction
Bills 24, Jets 10
PASS.
There is no value on the Bills (-425) to win in what should be a tune-up game for them in preparation of the playoffs.
BET BILLS -8 (-110).
The Jets have failed to cover in each of their last 4 games, scoring 10 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 and in 4 of their last 6. They have struggled mightily this season, both with their on-field performance and injuries. At this point, the worse they perform, the better draft pick they will have next season, so playing a competitive game will not benefit them.
The Bills will look to prepare for a playoff run, which will start with building momentum on Sunday. They have scored at least 23 points in 4 of their last 5 games.
LEAN UNDER 37.5 (-110).
The Bills have allowed 20 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 games and have hit the Under in 3 of their last 6. While they will certainly carry much of the scoring load, their defense will play a key role in the Under hitting.
The Jets, beaten and bruised, have scored 10 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games and 14 or fewer in 6 of their last 10 games.
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