LT Overton was a Round 2 player on my initial board and 43rd Overall. This was heavily influenced by his 2024 tape from Summer scouting (and some early 2025 tape) which had LT as a far more consistently disruptive Defensive Linemen as a pass rusher (39 pressures for 15.2% Pressure Rate and 18% Pass Rush Win Rate).
2025 was a step back from the consistency in pass rush as linemen adjusted to his bull rush a bit more and he dealt with an upper body injury early on in the season as well as a “significant but undisclosed” health problem late in 2025 that gave him respiratory issues. He had a medical procedure to try to solve the issue and after missing the the start of the playoffs was able to return and play the Hoosiers in the 2nd Round. His medical checks at the Scouting Combine will be key for his draft stock to make sure this medical issue is in the past and has no long term impact.
Even if teams are willing to write off his 2025 tape due to these medical issues and evaluate him off of 2024 tape, there are still things Overton needs to address in the NFL. His power profile is impressive with his complementary short area quickness to execute stunts and loops, but the lack of overall speed and explosion are red flags. He needs to decide if he should embrace the power of his game and shift inside more as a penetrating Defensive Tackle, or if he should try to round out the finesse in his game to be able to be more consistent on the outside as a Defensive End. Further gaining more flexibility in his legs should help the latter as it would further improve his bend on the outside shoulders of tackles, while also making sure that regardless of where he plays he won’t lose the leverage battle by playing too high.
In a very talented Defensive End class he has a large range of landing spots in the Draft, but for the Colts he could provide either another potential successor to DeForest Buckner at Defensive Tackle or could shore up the Colts need for a powerful run stuffer on the outside with Kwity Paye potentially departing this offseason as a free agent. Adding someone who could collapse the pocket with a reliable bull rush would be a fun fit to pair with Laiatu Latu, offering some clean-up sack opportunities as QBs shift away from the bull rusher to try to get space to throw in or out of the pocket. While Round 2 might be a bit early on my revised board coming out later, should LT Overton fall to Round 3 he would be very tempting for the Colts to take a shot on.
Overton does seem to embody the values the Colts want to have on and off the field, with leadership and community effort paired with a strong worth ethic and motor in the locker room/on the field. The 21 year old might have some development needed to complete his game, but he seems to have a good head on his shoulders and is willing to make his potential a reality. Someone will take a shot on him on Day 2, and the community that lands him will get a nice boon as a result.