NFL Championship Game odds: Patriots vs. Broncos spread, line, over/under
Data Skrive
Jan. 22, 2026, 10:55 p.m. ET

The New England Patriots visit the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship game of the 2025 NFL Playoffs as 4.5-point favorites on January 25, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET on CBS.
Patriots vs. Broncos game infoGame day: Sunday, January 25, 2026Game time: 3 p.m. ETTV channel: CBSLocation: Denver, ColoradoStadium: Empower Field at Mile HighLive stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)Watch New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos on Fubo! (Regional restrictions may apply)Patriots vs. Broncos odds & betting linesSpread favorite: New England (-4.5)Moneyline: New England (-246), Denver (+200)Total: 42.5 pointsExpert NFL picks: Exclusive betting insights only at USA TODAY.
NFL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 10:56 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Patriots vs. Broncos recent matchupsNew England holds the edge versus Denver over the last two matchups between the two squads, putting together a 2-0 record.New England outscored Denver 67-39 in those two head-to-head matchups.Patriots vs. Broncos betting insightsNew England has won 12 games against the spread so far this season (12-5-0). In 11 games as a moneyline favorite, the Patriots are 10-1. Denver has seven wins against the spread in 17 opportunities this season (7-10-0). The Broncos have been the moneyline underdog five times this year, going 4-1 in those games.Patriots scoring insightsThe Patriots’ scoring average at home, 28.2 points per game, is worse than their average on the road, 29.5.On defense, New England is allowing 18.2 points per game at home, less than its 19.5 average on the road.The Patriots average more points in division games (32.3) than non-division games (26.9).New England has given up 19.3 points per game in the division, which is a tad worse than its mark against the rest of the league of 18.5.The Patriots’ defense has been creating chaos for opposing offenses over the last three games, ranking third-best by surrendering only 9.7 points per game. On offense, they rank seventh in the NFL during that three-game period (27.3 points per game).Broncos scoring insightsAt home, the Broncos’ scoring average is 25.6 points per game, which is higher than their average on the road (21.4).Defensively, Denver concedes fewer points at home (17.8 per game) than away (18.9).Offensively, the Broncos are scoring 19.2 points per game in divisional contests, which is less than their 26.0 average versus the rest of the league.Denver averages fewer points conceded in division games (13.7) than non-division games (20.8).The Broncos are scoring 24.0 points per game in their past three games (12th in league), and allowing 15.3 (fifth-best).Patriots injury reportPatriots: TreVeyon Henderson: Full Participation in Practice (Shoulder), Joshua Farmer: Full Participation in Practice (Hamstring), Thayer Munford: Limited Participation in Practice (Knee), Morgan Moses: Limited Participation in Practice (NIR – Rest), Hunter Henry: Limited Participation in Practice (NIR – Rest), Christian Elliss: Limited Participation in Practice (Hip), Carlton Davis: Limited Participation in Practice (Concussion), Marte Mapu: Did Not Participate In Practice (Hip), Harold Landry: Did Not Participate In Practice (Knee), Robert Spillane: Full Participation in Practice (Hand), Mack Hollins: Limited Participation in Practice (Abdomen), Garrett Bradbury: Did Not Participate In Practice (Illness), Terrell Jennings: Full Participation in Practice (Concussion)Broncos injury reportBroncos: Drew Sanders: Full Participation in Practice (Ankle), Lucas Krull: Full Participation in Practice (Foot), Frank Crum: Full Participation in Practice (Ankle), Bo Nix: Did Not Participate In Practice (Ankle), Troy Franklin: Limited Participation in Practice (Hamstring), Alex Forsyth: Limited Participation in Practice (Ankle), J.K. Dobbins: Limited Participation in Practice (Foot), Pat Bryant: Full Participation in Practice (Concussion), Luke Wattenberg: Full Participation in Practice (Shoulder), JL Skinner: Full Participation in Practice (Quad)Watch New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos on Fubo! (Regional restrictions may apply)
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