“We got one more left, man,” Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold said after Seattle’s 31-27 NFC Championship victory over the LA Rams.

This Sunday will mark the Seahawks’ first Super Bowl appearance since 2014, wherein they lost one arguably the franchises most infamous contest of all time. A goal line interception by cornerback Malcolm Butler struck down the Seahawk’s championship bid, sending the trophy home with the Patriots.

Seattle (14-3) will have to reckon with the demons of Superbowls past this Sunday, as they square off with New England (14-3) once again, this time at Levi’s Stadium, California.

The Seahawks are a 3.5 point favorite and have a 59.8% chance to win, according to ESPN.

The Pats underdog status is heightened by second-year quarterback Drake Maye’s shoulder injury. Despite questions about movement limitations, he pacified concerns in a Thursday press conference.

“Got out there, moved around a good bit today, and went in to do some jog-throughs, so, feeling good,” Maye said.

If his mobility isn’t restricted, the Seahawks defense may be facing an uphill climb, despite New England’s offensive woes in the playoffs thus far. The Patriots gritty AFC Championship win was no offensive masterclass, but it’s also not necessarily a representative example, considering the 10-7 victory came in the midst of a Denver blizzard.

Even though New England has posted just a combined 54 points in three games this postseason – a historic low – it wouldn’t surprise anyone if The Pats kick things into gear on Sunday. They averaged 379.4 yards of production in the regular season and posted 58 touchdowns, placing them third in the league in both categories.

While the Seahawks defense is opportunistic, boasting the NFL’s highest turnover margin (+4), they allowed nearly 500 yards in their NFC Championship. They’ve conceded an average of 357.5 yards through two games, a marked departure from 285.9 per game before the playoffs.

Due to the volatile trends, the game will hinge on New England’s ability to right their offensive downturn and Seattle’s theirs on defense. In all likelihood, Sunday will be a low-scoring affair.

When New England has the ball, the trenches should be pretty evenly matched. The Patriots lead the postseason in sacks, at 12, but the Seahawks are only allowing 1.3 per game this year.

New England, on the other hand, is allowing 3.2 sacks per contest, 26th in the NFL. Seattle’s defensive front, led by defensive end Demarcus Lawrence, has a 75.1 Pro Football Focus (PFF) grade, the skillset barometer that measures efficiency and production,ranked eighth in the league.

If history is any indicator, Seattle will rely on their stout rushing attack and try to dictate tempo early on. Rushing the ball more than any NFC team, the Seahawks have notched over 2,000 yards on the ground this season.

“Well, they commit to it. I mean, they lead the league in attempts, so that’s a good place to start if you want to do good things. They have a good scheme, and they commit to it. They’ve been ahead in football games, and therefore allowed them to run the football by volume. But it’s a versatile scheme.” said Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel of the Seahawk’s rushing prowess.

Quarterback Sam Darnold, in tandem with star wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigma, completes Seattle’s double edged offensive sword, which could prove problematic for New England. Smith-Njigba leads the league in receiving yards, 1,793, and has 27 receptions of over 20 yards, tied for first in the NFL.

New England will try to lead through the air. Drake Maye has accounted for 4,394 passing yards on the year, third in the NFL and just above Sam Darnold, with 4,048. Wideout Kayshon Boutte is Maye’s top target, but has been stunted alongside the Patriots sputtering offense in the postseason.

If New England can pull off the upset, it would be their seventh title all-time and fourth since 2015. Sunday will mark Seattle’s fourth ever Superbowl appearance and, if they can pull it secure a victory, their second win.