The NFL world was tired of seeing Kansas City in the Super Bowl. Be careful what you wish for, as the New England Patriots chase a seventh Super Bowl victory against the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seahawks were on the verge of back-to-back championships in 2015 until Russell Wilson’s infamous goal-line interception. The Patriots’ dynasty continued, and they’re now a win away from the most Super Bowls in NFL history. The coaches and players on both sides are new, but Seattle fans are still looking for their pound of flesh.

The latest Super Bowl 60 odds list the Seahawks as a decisive 4.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 45.5. According to Bet Labs Sports, Seattle is the first team to get more than 70% of spread bets in the Super Bowl.

MORE: The 2026 Super Bowl betting guide shares exclusive insights from top oddsmakers.

Seahawks vs. Patriots betting picks and predictionsSeahawks -4.5: -110 at BetMGMKenneth Walker III over 16.5 first quarter rush yards: -122 at FanDuel

NOTE: Odds are based on the best value our experts find when writing; check lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.

The Seahawks enter the Super Bowl with a league-best 14-5 record against the spread (ATS). They’ve covered in four straight games and hold a 7-3 ATS record as favorites of a field goal or more.

Outside of Philadelphia’s shellacking of Kansas City last year, football fans have been treated to some nail-biting finishes in recent Super Bowls. Three of the past four big games have been decided by exactly three points.

That streak ends tonight when Seattle exacts revenge and covers the spread. The Seahawks -9.5 alternate spread is worth considering with the +167 odds at Caesars Sportsbook.

It’s hard to knock a team competing in the Super Bowl, but the Patriots haven’t faced a tough path in the NFL Playoffs. They beat the injury-riddled Chargers in the Wild Card before taking down a terrible Texans’ offense without star WR Nico Collins in the Divisional Round.

Getting a road victory over the Broncos in the AFC Championship was impressive, but facing backup QB Jarrett Stidham instead of Bo Nix is an important sidenote.

The Seahawks’ defense is firing on all cylinders under head coach Mike Macdonald. The unit is tops in the NFL in points allowed, EPA, DVOA and third down defense. QB Drake Maye is the catalyst behind the Patriots’ Super Bowl run, but he’s been shaky in the postseason.

Maye has five total touchdowns and five turnovers in the playoffs, and his completion percentage was below 60% in all three postseason victories. That’s a steep drop from his 72% completion rate in the regular season, and he’s now facing the best defense in the NFL.

QB Sam Darnold didn’t have to do much in a 35-point Divisional Round victory, but he lit up the Rams in the NFC Championship. The former USC Trojan completed 69.4% of his pass attempts for 346 yards and three touchdowns. Working with Offensive Player of the Year Jaxon Smith-Njigba makes life easier for Darnold.

Watch for Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III to start the game hot. He’s tallied 256 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns in the past two games.

The NFC Championship was Seattle’s first game without RB Zach Charbonnet, who suffered a season-ending injury in the Divisional Round. Walker III took 73% of the carries against the Rams and gained 35 rushing yards in the first quarter.

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Seahawks vs. Patriots moneyline odds analysisWhy the Seahawks could win as the favorite

Best odds: -230 at DraftKings

The best teams peak at the right time, and that’s what we’re seeing with the Seahawks. They’ve won nine straight games and boast a 6-3 ATS record in that span. This includes covering the spread in both playoff games, when the level of competition increases.

Meanwhile, the Patriots have survived and advanced in the postseason. The 16-3 win over the Chargers in the Wild Card was closer than the final score indicates, and Stidham’s boneheaded turnover in the AFC Championship led to Denver’s demise.

New England has the coaching advantage with Mike Vrabel and his staff, but Seattle has an edge in all three phases. The Patriots are a year ahead of schedule in a rebuild that happened at breakneck speed.

Why the Patriots could win as the underdog

Best odds: +195 at BetMGM

After New England went 4-13 last year, nobody anticipated a Super Bowl run in 2025-26. Based on the Super Bowl betting splits reported by Bet Labs Sports, people continue to doubt the Patriots. They’ve been proving most folks wrong all season, so why stop now?

You can find Super Bowl betting trends to fit any narrative, but there is value in the underdog trend. The underdog has come out on top in four of the past five Super Bowls, including an active three-game win streak.

The main key to a Patriots victory is protecting Maye. They’ve allowed a league-worst 15 sacks in the playoffs, more than double that of any other team. Macdonald loves confusing opposing QBs with exotic blitzes, and Maye needs time to allow plays to develop. The sophomore QB must also avoid putting the ball in danger against a ball-hawking secondary.

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