Mike Masala, Dolphins Wire
Mon, May 18, 2026 at 4:50 PM UTC
Dolphins schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026 season
The Miami Dolphins, in their first year under new general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan and head coach Jeff Hafley, have a tough slate of games to play in the regular season. In fact, their schedule is the second-toughest in the league only behind the Arizona Cardinals.
With Miami unveiling their schedule last week, ESPN’s Mike Clay released his shared win-probability projections for every Dolphins game in 2026, and there’s no game that he projects the team with a more than 50% chance of winning a game.
Take a look at their win probability for each game below.
Week 2 at San Francisco 49ers: 7%
Week 3 vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 15%
Week 7 at New York Jets: 20%
Week 8 vs. New England Patriots: 15%
Week 12 vs. New York Jets: 33%
Week 16 vs. Los Angeles Chargers: 15%
Week 17 vs. Buffalo Bills: 14%
Week 18 at New England Patriots: 7%
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This article originally appeared on Dolphins Wire: Dolphins’ win probability for every game on 2026 schedule