ESPN has released its 2025 projections, including the projected stat lines for Indianapolis Colts’ second-year wide receiver AD Mitchell.

So what might Year 2 look like, production-wise, for Mitchell?

Advertisement

Mike Clay, who puts these projections together each year, has Mitchell catching 30-of-55 targets for 429 yards with three touchdowns.

Year 1 was a very inconsistent season for Mitchell. We saw flashes of the speed, ability to separate, and playmaking potential, but we also saw dropped passes, him and the quarterback not being on the same page, and mistimed routes.

On game days, Mitchell was either the fourth or sometimes fifth wide receiver, behind Ashton Dulin, when it came to playing time. He finished his rookie year catching just 23-of-51 targets (45.1%) at 13.6 yards per catch with no touchdowns, per PFF.

As GM Chris Ballard said after the 2024 season, when asked about Mitchell, this year will be about finding that consistency. With the combination of speed and suddenness as a route runner that Mitchell possesses, he has the potential to attack all three levels of the field and do so in a variety of ways, which can be a stressor for a defense.

Advertisement

However, earning more targets, taking on more of those route running responsibilities, and not only being a deep threat like he often was in 2024, goes back to being more consistent.

But even if that is achieved, Mitchell finding an abundance of snaps may still be hard to come by in a receiver room with Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce, along with Tyler Warren at tight end. There are only so many snaps and targets to go around.

“That next step is like, alright, let me learn my role, let me focus on the things I can control and move from there,” said receivers coach Reggie Wayne. “He’s backing up Alec right now. I mean, you can’t throw Alec away. Alec just had a great year. Just coming in understanding, and understanding your place, but when your number is called, let’s make sure we hit a home run and not just a base hit.”

This article originally appeared on Colts Wire: 2025 Stat projections for Indianapolis Colts’ WR AD Mitchell