According to Bill Connelly of ESPN, who authors the site’s SP+ metrics, the Big 12 has an average of 61.8% returning production in 2025, which is the highest among all FBS conferences.

So how does Utah stack up, specifically offensively?

At first glance, Utah’s 75% returning production percentage given by SP+ seems too high. After all, the Utes are losing starting quarterback Cam Rising, virtually all of their running back room, including thousand-yard rusher Micah Bernard, and a sizable chunk of their receiver room, including Dorian Singer (53 receptions for 702 yards and one touchdown in 2024) and Zacharyus Williams (10 receptions for 101 yards).

The only group coming back in whole is the offensive line, which returns all five starters, including possible NFL draft picks Spencer Fano and Caleb Lomu at the tackles.

But ESPN’s model takes into account the production of incoming transfers, and with pretty much every transfer to Utah this offseason having FBS experience, that goes into the calculation.

“The production of incoming transfers is mashed into both the numerator and denominator of the returning production formula — so if you lose your starting quarterback but bring in someone else’s from the portal, your returning yardage is probably somewhere around 50%. The production of transfers from schools below the FBS level get half-credit,” Connelly writes.

With a 75% returning production rate on offense, the Utes are No. 11 in the country.

Here’s how they stack up amongst the Big 12.

RankTeam Returning offensive production rate1Arizona State78%2Baylor77%3Utah75%T-4Arizona71%T-4Kansas State71%6Texas Tech70%7Houston69%8TCU67%T-9BYU65%T-9Iowa State65%T-11Cincinnati 62%T-11Kansas62%13.Colorado50%14.West Virginia48%15.UCF47%16.Oklahoma State40%

Here’s a position-by-position look at what production returns for Utah, both from last year’s team and through the transfer portal, and which production from last year is leaving.

QuarterbackUtah Utes quarterback Isaac Wilson (11) passes the ball during warmups before an NCAA football game between the University of Utah Utes and the Iowa State University Cyclones held at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City on Saturday, Nov. 23, 2024. | Isaac Hale, Deseret News Production returning in 2025Isaac Wilson, sophomore. 2024 stats: 127 for 225 for 1,510 yards, 10 touchdowns, 11 interceptions passing; 47 yards rushingNew additions with past production

Devon Dampier, New Mexico, junior. 2024 stats: 2,768 yards, 12 touchdowns and 12 interceptions passing (57.9% completion rate); 1,166 yards and 19 touchdowns rushing on 155 carries.

Nate Johnson, Vanderbilt, redshirt junior. 2024 stats: 1 for 3 for 12 yards passing; 114 rushing yards and a touchdown on 11 carries.

Production leaving in 2025Cam Rising, senior. 2024 stats: 34 for 66 for 555 yards, seven touchdowns, three interceptionsBrandon Rose, sophomore. 2024 stats: 19 for 26 for 157 yards, two interceptions, two touchdowns passing; 66 yards rushingLuke Bottari, senior. 2024 stats: 19 for 30 for 171 yards, one touchdown; nine carries for 34 yards rushingOffensive lineWashington defensive end Bralen Trice (8) goes against Utah offensive lineman Spencer Fano (55) as he looks to reach quarterback Bryson Barnes (16) during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson) | Lindsey Wasson, Associated Press Production returning in 2025Jaren Kump, senior. 2024 stats: 773 snaps, 67.2 PFF gradeCaleb Lomu, redshirt sophomore. 2024 stats: 772 snaps, 75.6 PFF gradeSpencer Fano, junior. 2024 stats: 770 snaps, 92.5 PFF gradeTanoa Togiai, senior. 2024 stats: 649 snaps, 79 PFF gradeMichael Mokofisi, senior. 2024 stats: 405 snaps, 63.9 PFF gradeSolatoa Moea’i, junior. 2024 stats: 276 snaps, 52.4 PFFProduction leaving in 2025Falcon Kaumatule, senior. 2024 stats: 161 snaps, 70.9 PFF gradeRunning backsNew additions with past production

Wayshawn Parker, Washington State, RB, sophomore. 2024 stats: 137 carries for 735 yards and four touchdowns; 11 receptions for 108 yards and one touchdown.

NaQuari Rogers, New Mexico, RB, senior. 2024 stats: 74 carries for 382 yards and five touchdowns; three receptions for 14 yards and one touchdown.

Devin Green, UNLV, RB, sophomore. 2024 stats: 29 carries for 123 yards and one touchdown.

Production leaving in 2025Micah Bernard, RB, senior. 2024 stats: 1,009 yards and four touchdowns on 197 carries; 30 receptions for 150 yards and two touchdownsMike Mitchell, RB, redshirt freshman. 2024 stats: Seven carries for 158 yards and one touchdown, one reception for five yardsDijon Stanley, RB, sophomore. 2024 stats: 12 games, 66 rushing yards, 166 receiving yards and two touchdownsJaylon Glover, RB, sophomore. 2024 stats: Three games, 12 carries for 60 yardsCharlie Vincent, RB, senior. 2024 stats: 14 carries for 44 yards, two receptions for nine yardsWide receiversUtah wide receiver Zacharyus Williams (89) looks for running room after a reception against the Central Florida defense including defensive back Quadric Bullard (10) during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Friday, Nov. 29, 2024, in Orlando, Fla. | John Raoux, Associated Press Production returning in 2025Daidren Zipperer, redshirt sophomore. 2024 stats: Eight receptions for 122 yardsLuca Caldarella, senior. 2024 stats: Two receptions for 26 yardsNew additions with past productionTobias Merriweather, Cal, junior. 2024 stats: 11 receptions for 125 yards and one touchdown. Ryan Davis, New Mexico, senior. 2024 stats: 54 receptions for 747 yards and three touchdowns.Creed Whittemore, Mississippi State, sophomore. 2024 stats: Chose to redshirt after four games; four receptions for 65 yards, 41 rushing yards.Larry Simmons, Southern Miss, sophomore. 2024 stats: 27 receptions for 421 yards and one touchdown.Justin Stevenson, Wyoming, sophomore. 2024 stats: 17 receptions for 204 yards and three touchdowns.Production leaving in 2025Dorian Singer, senior. 2024 stats: 53 receptions for 702 yards and one touchdownZacharyus Williams, sophomore. 2024 stats: 10 receptions for 101 yardsMycah Pittman, senior. 2024 stats: Eight games, six receptions for 50 yardsMunir McClain, senior. 2024 stats: Three receptions for 20 yardsMoney Parks, senior. 2024 stats: 21 receptions for 294 yards and three touchdownsTight endsUtah Utes tight end Landen King (82) tries to grab a pass against USU in Logan on Saturday, Sept. 14, 2024. | Jeffrey D. Allred, Deseret News Production returning in 2025Dallen Bentley, senior. 2024 stats: Two receptions for 15 yardsNew additions with past production

Otto Tia, Utah State, junior. 2024 stats: 44 receptions for 434 yards and seven touchdowns.

Production leaving in 2025Brant Kuithe, senior. 2024 stats: 35 receptions for 505 yards and six touchdownsCarsen Ryan, junior. 2024 stats: 10 receptions for 113 yards and one touchdownCaleb Lohner, senior. 2024 stats: Four receptions for 54 yards and four touchdownsMiki Suguturaga, senior. 2024 stats: One reception for three yardsLanden King, senior. 2024 stats: Three receptions for 54 yards and one touchdown