Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff has been a model of consistency in the “Goff-ense” the last few seasons. However, at least one sportsbook believes that the loss of Ben Johnson as his offensive coordinator is going to significantly cut into Goff’s production in 2025.
The player prop betting odds at DraftKings present a pretty low bar for Goff in terms of over/under passing yards. As of July 1st, the line is 3,900.5 yards as the over/under mark for Goff’s passing yards in 2025. While that’s still a pretty impressive total, it lowballs Goff from the last three years.
Goff has topped 4,400 yards in each of the last three years, elevating to a total of 4,629 yards in 2024. That total averages out to 272.3 yards per game. He accomplished that by completion a career-high 72.4 percent of his passes.
The over/under line presumes that losing Ben Johnson (and center Frank Ragnow and RG Kevin Zeitler) is going to cost Goff almost 43 passing yards per game; the 3,900 total averages out to 229.4 yards per game over the 17-game schedule. The entire rest of the offense, including every skill position player, returns to Detroit in 2025, and the Lions also added exciting third-round rookie wideout Isaac TeSlaa to the mix.
For Lions fans who believe strongly in Goff’s abilities and don’t think the coordinator and interior OL losses will hurt the quarterback, that “over” bet should be extremely appealing. Goff has topped 3,900 passing yards in six of his last seven seasons, only missing in his first season in Detroit (2021).