With Week 1 here, several NFL experts have predicted the Jaguars’ record for the 2025 season. Wins were added, but are they a playoff team?

We made it. Week 1 of the NFL season is upon us, and with that, experts are putting together their final record predictions for the Jacksonville Jaguars and the rest of the league.

It’s really difficult not to be bullish about the path that the Jacksonville Jaguars are on right now under their new leadership trio of Tony Boselli, James Gladstone, and Liam Coen. This offseason, a clear vision for who this group wants the Jaguars to be has been established.

Gladstone, after spending his NFL career up to this point with the LA Rams, working closely with Les Snead, brings a new way of thinking to the Jaguars from a team-building standpoint.

In addition to that, Gladstone quickly reshaped the Jaguars roster and clearly prioritized building around Trevor Lawrence by heavily adding to the offensive line, along with bringing in added playmaking abilities at the skill positions.

Coen orchestrated one of the most productive offenses in football last season while in Tampa Bay, while Anthony Campanile has implemented a malleable defensive scheme, one that is built on multiplicity, helping to put the defenders in a position to go make plays.

With all that said, while there is a lot to like about all these changes on paper, we won’t truly know how much better this Jaguars team has gotten this offseason until we see games played.

There is also quite a bit of inexperience throughout the organization, with many key decision-makers in their respective roles for the first time in their careers.

That, again, leads to unknowns when it comes to what to expect.

So, how do the experts believe the Jaguars’ season will play out? Well, everyone expects Jacksonville to improve by a fair amount–but are they good enough to make the playoffs?

Breech: “Trevor Lawrence is now going into the second of a five-year, $275 million extension that he signed back in June 2024. At $55 million per year, Lawrence is tied with Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Jordan Love as the second-highest paid QB in the NFL. If new coach Liam Coen can’t turn him into a successful quarterback, the Jaguars are going to be in trouble.”

Nate Davis, USA Today: 8-9

Davis: “This could be a team that surprises – especially if rookie HC Liam Coen can elicit results from QB Trevor Lawrence at least somewhat comparable to what he got from Baker Mayfield in Tampa last year. There’s a fair amount of established talent on this roster, and that doesn’t include rookie WR/CB Travis Hunter, who’s now its highest-profile member. Over the season’s final six weeks, the Jags face just one 2024 playoff team.”

Ali Bhanpuri, NFL.com: 7-10

Bhanpuri: “If Trevor Lawrence plays to his lofty potential, I could see Liam Coen doing to DeMeco Ryans what Ryans did to Coen’s predecessor, Doug Pederson, in 2023: Unseating the reigning division champs in Year 1. Hard to count on that kind of immediate turnaround, though, especially with the AFC West and NFC West comprising a chunk of the schedule.”

Orr: “I have no idea what the Jaguars are going to be. This team started over with a first-time head coach and first-time coordinators at every spot, save for special teams. Instead of addressing a position of obvious need in the draft, the team swung for the fences with a positionless wide receiver-slash-cornerback and risked massive draft capital for the right to do it.

“This team is either going to be fun and absolutely a joy to watch, or the same kind of humdrum product that dazzles before disappointing as it was during the end of the Doug Pederson era.”

ESPN used its FPI model to run thousands of projected seasons, and on average, the Jaguars won 8.1 games. The chances of the Jaguars making the playoffs, according to this model, sits at 39.3%, while winning the division is at 27.1%.

Moton: “New Jaguars head coach Liam Coen should be able to bring out the best in Trevor Lawrence following an impressive 2024 campaign as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers play-caller. Under his tutelage, Baker Mayfield posted career highs in passing yards (4,500) and touchdowns (41). Also, the Bucs fielded the fourth-ranked rushing attack.

“The Jaguars should be considered a dark horse to win the AFC South.”