Raiders at Commanders odds, picks and predictions

The Las Vegas Raiders (1-1) and the Washington Commanders (1-1) meet Sunday in Week 3 at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Raiders vs. Commanders odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Raiders fell 20-9 to the LA Chargers on Monday Night Football in Week 2, failing to cover as 3.5-point home underdogs with the Under 46.5 cashing. QB Geno Smith struggled badly, going 24-for-43 for 180 yards and 3 INTs. Rookie RB Ashton Jeanty hasn’t provided much of a spark either, with just 81 yards on 30 carries (2.7 per attempt) through his first 2 games, though he does have a touchdown.

The Commanders dropped their Week 2 matchup on Thursday Night Football, losing 27-18 to the Green Bay Packers as 3-point road underdogs as the Under (48) cashed. Washington’s run game never found traction, managing just 51 rushing yards, and things got worse when RB Austin Ekeler was lost for the season with a torn Achilles. QB Jayden Daniels connected on touchdown passes to WR Deebo Samuel and TE Zach Ertz, but he also suffered a knee sprain that will sideline him for Week 3.

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Raiders at Commanders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Raiders +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Commanders -155 (bet $155 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Raiders +3 (-115) | Commanders -3 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Raiders at Commanders key injuries

Raiders

CB Decamerion Richardson (hamstring) questionable

Commanders

TE John Bates (groin) outWR Noah Brown (groin/knee) outQB Jayden Daniels (knee) outRaiders at Commanders picks and predictionsPrediction

Commanders 20, Raiders 14

PASS.

I like the Commanders to take care of business at home. At -155 on the moneyline, they’re a solid play, but the better value is backing them to cover the 3-point spread. If you’d rather play it safer, though, this moneyline fits nicely into a parlay option.

BET COMMANDERS -3 (-105).

With Daniels sidelined, the Commanders turn to QB Marcus Mariota, and I still like them to cover the −3 against the Raiders. Mariota brings veteran experience, and while he won’t light up the scoreboard, he’s more than capable of managing this offense and leaning on the playmakers around him. Washington doesn’t need him to be spectacular — they just need him to be steady.

The real edge in this matchup comes from the Commanders’ defense. They’ve been disruptive up front, collapsing pockets and forcing quarterbacks into mistakes. That’s bad news for a Raiders team that’s struggled with turnovers and inconsistency finishing drives. If Washington can get pressure early, they’ll control the flow of the game.

Add in the home-field advantage, where Washington has been more consistent and energized, and this sets up perfectly. Even with Daniels out, I see the Commanders’ defense dictating terms, Mariota doing enough to keep the offense on schedule, and Washington pulling away late. Covering the 3 points at home feels like the right side.

BET UNDER 43.5 (-110).

With Daniels out, the Commanders will rely on Mariota, who tends to play it safe and run a conservative offense. That means fewer explosive plays and longer, clock-chewing drives. The Raiders have their own problems — inconsistent execution, stalled third downs, and a tendency to turn the ball over. Neither team has shown the ability to consistently light up the scoreboard.

Defensively, Washington can pressure the quarterback and force mistakes, while the Raiders’ secondary has held up well so far. Add in the fact that both teams have gone Under in each of their first 2 games this season, and the trend points to another grind. This matchup feels more like a field-position battle than a shootout, making Under 43.5 the smart side.

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Raiders at Commanders odds, picks and predictions

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