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NFL Week 3 overreactions

USA Today’s Lorenzo Reyes breaks down the biggest NFL storylines from Week 3.

Sports Seriously

The Chicago Bears and Las Vegas Raiders play on Sunday, Sept. 28, at the Raiders’ Allegiant Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 4 schedule.

Which team will win the NFL Week 4 game?

Check out these NFL Week 4 picks and NFL Week 4 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 1:25 p.m. MST on CBS (stream with FUBO).

The Raiders are a 1.5-point favorite over the Bears in NFL Week 4 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Las Vegas is -110 on the moneyline, while Chicago is -110. The over/under (point total) is set at 47.5 points.

NFL Week 4 picks: Seahawks at Cardinals | Vikings vs Steelers | Commanders at Falcons | Saints at Bills | Browns at Lions | Titans at Texans | Panthers at Patriots | Chargers at Giants | Eagles at Buccaneers | Colts at Rams | Jaguars at 49ers | Ravens at Chiefs | Bears at Raiders | Packers at Cowboys | Jets at Dolphins | Bengals at Broncos | The Republic’s score predictions

Watch Bears at Raiders live on FUBO (free trial)

Jeremy Cluff writes: “Caleb Williams and the Bears impressed in their win over the Dallas Cowboys, and the Raiders have struggled to stop teams since their Week 1 win over the New England Patriots. Chicago will edge Las Vegas and hand Pete Carroll’s team a third straight loss.”

Bookies.com: Bet the Bears with the points vs Raiders

Bill Speros writes: “Bears HC Ben Johnson finally found the keys to unleash Caleb Williams in Sunday’s 31-14 win over Dallas. Williams threw for 249 yards – in the first half and had his tight ends open all day. The Raiders continue their journey into irrelevance. It doesn’t matter if Raiders part-owner and FOX analyst Tom Brady gets the secret code to each opponent. As long as he isn’t wearing No. 12 in the Silver and Black, it won’t matter.”

The site’s formula predicts that the Raiders will win the NFL Week 4 game against the Bears.

ESPN: Bears have a 51.4% chance to beat Raiders on Sunday

The site gives the Raiders a 48.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Dimers: Bears 23, Raiders 21

It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bears a win probability of 59%, while the Raiders have a win probability of 41%.”

Sportsnaut: Chicago Bears 34, Las Vegas Raiders 28

Matt Johnson writes: “You need two things to really exploit the Chicago Bears: a league-average offensive line and a solid secondary. The Las Vegas Raiders don’t have either of those. Geno Smith will get a few chances to exploit a Bears secondary missing its top corner and that has surrendered an 8-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio with a 110.0 quarterback rating this season. There just won’t be enough chances because of this Raiders offensive line, which will provide Caleb Williams and Ben Johnson with far better opportunities to put up a 30-burger.”

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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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