NFL Week 3 overreactions
USA Today’s Lorenzo Reyes breaks down the biggest NFL storylines from Week 3.
Sports Seriously
The Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons play on Sunday, Sept. 28, at the Falcons’ Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 4 schedule.
Which team will win the NFL Week 4 game?
Check out these NFL Week 4 picks and NFL Week 4 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 10 a.m. MST on CBS (stream with FUBO).
The Commanders are a 1.5-point favorite over the Falcons in NFL Week 4 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Washington is -125 on the moneyline, while Atlanta is +105. The over/under (point total) is set at 45.5 points.
NFL Week 4 picks: Seahawks at Cardinals | Vikings vs Steelers | Commanders at Falcons | Saints at Bills | Browns at Lions | Titans at Texans | Panthers at Patriots | Chargers at Giants | Eagles at Buccaneers | Colts at Rams | Jaguars at 49ers | Ravens at Chiefs | Bears at Raiders | Packers at Cowboys | Jets at Dolphins | Bengals at Broncos | The Republic’s score predictions
Watch Commanders at Falcons live on FUBO (free trial)
Jeremy Cluff writes: “Will Jayden Daniels play for the Commanders in this game? Will it even matter? Marcus Mariota proved to be more than a capable backup in Washington’s NFL Week 3 win over the Las Vegas Raiders and the Falcons couldn’t even score against the Carolina Panthers.”
Bookies.com: Bet the Commanders to cover vs Falcons
Bill Speros writes: “QBs Jayden Daniels (Washington) and Michael Penix Jr. were taken in the QB-heavy first round of the 2024 NFL draft. Kirk Cousins replaced Penix Sunday as the Falcons crashed and burned in a 30-0 loss to Carolina. Marcus Mariota effectively filled in for Daniels Sunday in Washington’s rout of Las Vegas. The Commanders entered the year with the oldest average roster age in the NFL. That could be a concern later. For now, their front seven control the game here – pressuring Atlanta’s QB. Whether it’s Cousins or Penix.”
The site’s formula predicts that the Falcons will win the NFL Week 4 game against the Commanders.
ESPN: Commanders have a 59.2% chance to beat Falcons on Sunday
The site gives the Falcons a 40.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Dimers: Commanders 26, Falcons 22
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Commanders a win probability of 62%, while the Falcons have a win probability of 38%.”
Sportsnaut: Commanders 24, Falcons 16
Matt Johnson writes: “It’s Bijan Robinson or nothing for the Atlanta Falcons offense thus far. Unfortunately for Robinson and offensive coordinator Zac Taylor, this Washington Commanders defense is ceding just 3.7 yards per carry entering Week 4, and you can bet both Bobby Wagner and Dan Quinn will force Michael Penix Jr. to beat them. We just saw what happened when a game was put on Penix’s shoulders. Even if the Commanders play it cautiously with Jayden Daniels again, Kliff Kingsbury’s offense is good enough to outpace Atlanta’s.”
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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