Check out these betting trends and insights before placing player prop wagers on Michael Penix Jr. for Monday’s game, which starts at 7:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. Penix’s Atlanta Falcons (2-2) and the Buffalo Bills (4-1) hit the field in Week 6 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
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Michael Penix Jr. week 6 player propsMatchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo BillsTime: 7:15 p.m. ETDate: October 13, 2025Passing yards prop: Over 216.5 (-115)Rushing yards prop: Over 6.5 (-120)
National Football League odds courtesy of BetMGM. Odds updated Tuesday at 10:47 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Michael Penix Jr. passing stats and trendsPenix is passing for 229.5 yards per game, more than his prop bet over/under for this matchup of 216.5.He has thrown for more than 216.5 yards twice this season in four games.Penix’s 229.5 passing yards per game are 9.0 higher than his average prop bet (220.5).Penix has topped his passing yards prop total twice in four chances.In two of four games this season, he has thrown a touchdown pass, including one game with multiple TD passes.Penix has been intercepted in two games this season (out of four), including multiple picks on one occasion.Falcons vs. Bills stats and trendsThe Bills are giving up 154.0 passing yards per game this year, the NFL’s second-ranked pass defense.The Falcons sport the 13th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (226.3 passing yards per game), and they’ve been more effective on defense, ranking best with only 135.0 passing yards allowed per game.The Falcons are compiling 136.5 rushing yards per game on offense (sixth in the NFL), and they rank 16th on the other side of the ball with 109.0 rushing yards allowed per game.The Falcons have the third-best defense in the NFL in terms of yards per play allowed (5.0), while their offense is ranked 15th, putting up 5.7 per play.
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