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Week 7 of the NFL season is slowly coming upon us.
Last week, we nailed some closing line value on the Lions vs. Chiefs over 49.5, which rose dramatically up to 53 by game time.
The total wound up going under both numbers as ball control was the central focus of “Sunday Night Football.”
Below, we take a look at some early lines for Week 7 and see if there’s some opportunity to gobble up some more closing line value for potential middles.
Colts +2 at Chargers
The Chargers’ entire team is battling injuries. Between injuries at running back, offensive line and wide receiver, Los Angeles is in rough shape as we head into Week 7.
Justin Herbert is certainly the A side of the quarterback matchup, but the Colts are still playing well enough to get my money here.
Daniel Jones and the Colts are leading the league in yards per play. AP
Indianapolis has the No. 5 defense in the NFL in terms of DVOA, while the Chargers are No. 17.
There’s nothing statistically that points to the Chargers deserving to be the favorites in this game other than previous sentiments regarding these two teams.
I suspect there’s a chance that Kenny Moore II also sneaks into this game as their No. 1 cornerback, as he was not put on IR and has been out since Week 3.
The Chargers may still be without Quentin Johnston, and as guys continue to be ruled out, I suspect the Colts could close as the favorite.
Get it while it’s hot.
Betting on the NFL?
Jaguars +3.5 vs. Rams
Jacksonville unleashed Brian Thomas Jr., and the Jaguars should be off and running this weekend behind a stout defense.
Los Angeles is now likely without Puka Nacua, as his injury looked pretty bad before he returned and was a non-factor overall in the second half of Sunday’s win over the Ravens.
Assuming he’s out, this spread is very likely to close to within a field goal.
You’ll want to snag the hook here as quickly as you can.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.