MIAMI GARDENS — It’s Year 2 for Sun Sentinel Dolphins columnist Chris Perkins and Dolphins writer David Furones picking prop bets, which they’ll do for all 17 regular-season games.
Prior to each game, Furones and Perkins will select a “Best Bet” and a “Longshot.” The “Best Bet” selection is a near 50-50 proposition while the “Longshot” is at least +300 or a 3-to-1 probability.
They don’t place dollar amounts on their bets (neither wants to go broke), but you’re welcome to wager as much as you can afford.
Furones is 5-2 on his “Best Bets” while Perk is 1-6. On the “Longshot,” Furones is 3-4 while Perk is 1-6.
Perkins and Furones use the Hard Rock Bet app for odds. Be sure to check the South Florida Sun Sentinel game predictions for Sunday’s outlook.
Perk’s Best Bet: Bijan Robinson over 95.5 yards rushing (+100)
The Dolphins have allowed three 100-yard rushers (including one 200-yard rusher) and I expect Robinson (97 carries, 524 yards, two touchdowns) will join that club. Miami’s run defense is the worst in the league (159.3 yards per game) and it has allowed every opponent to rush for more than 100 yards. Atlanta will run the ball because the Dolphins are so bad at defending the run, and Robinson, who ranks No. 6 in the league in rushing yards, will get lots of carries.
Furones’ Best Bet: Michael Penix Jr. under 225.5 passing yards (-115)
I think Perk’s right on with his prediction that Robinson rumbles on the ground. The Falcons can run the ball and will do so against the league-worst run defense of Miami. Penix won’t be asked to do much and should play with a lead, meaning he’ll just turn around and hand the ball off even more in the second half. Plus, he enters questionable with his knee injury. I don’t know if that’ll affect his throwing motion, but it could make it difficult for him to extend plays.
Furones kept his streak alive last week with when Cleveland QB Dillon Gabriel passed for fewer than 179.5 yards but Perk lost his bet of RB De’Von Achane getting a TD when the Dolphins failed to score a TD. Sheesh.
Perk’s Longshot: Drake London 100+ receving yards (+350)
London (38 receptions, 469 yards, two touchdowns) is better than either of the Dolphins’ cornerbacks, Jack Jones and Rasul Dogulas, which gives him a big advantage. The Dolphins’ struggling pass rush should allow quarterback Michael Penix Jr. plenty of time to pass. London’s ability to make difficult catches is another factor here. London’s biggest challenge to accomplishing this feat will be Robinson’s success on the ground.
Furones’ Longshpt: De’Von Achane 2+ TDs (+375)
The Dolphins’ best chance in this one is if Achane goes off against the Falcons, who aren’t as good against the run as they are in pass defense. I think he should be featured both on the ground and in the passing game and is most likely to find the end zone for Miami. Maybe it happens twice for the blazer.
Furones hit a three-leg parlay that included Jaylen Waddle, Malik Washington and Achane. Perk missed his longshot of Julian Hill TD.