Dan Johnson takes you through his preview, prediction, and pick for NFL Week 8’s game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants.

Divisional déjà vu, sixteen autumn days after New York’s 34–17 punch landed, now flips to South Philly with revenge and recalibration filling the air. The crowd will track every cadence change, every protection check, because the pivot of this rematch lives inside: communication, poise, and how Philadelphia translates a clean Week 7 bounce-back into sustained, precise violence. The storylines run hot and real. Wide receiver A.J. Brown is out, the target map shifts, and the Eagles must sculpt a new passing shape without their alpha. The Giants arrive oxygenated by youth despite a 2–5 record, fresh off a fourth-quarter horror show in Denver that still stings, and carrying the memory of holding Philadelphia to 1-for-9 on third down in that Thursday night ambush. The stakes rip: the Eagles at 5–2, still pacing the division; New York trying to prove the first win wasn’t a fluke but a blueprint. Below is my prediction for NFL Week 8’s game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants.

Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.

Jalen Hurts reminded everyone last week that the vertical answers still exist. He finished 19-of-23 for 326 yards, three touchdowns, and a perfect 158.3 rating, detonating Minnesota with 14.2 yards per attempt and three completions of 25-plus. Strip the highlight reel and the shape matters more: Philadelphia layered shots off rhythm throws and protected well enough to let intermediate routes breathe. Now the geometry changes. Without Brown, volume migrates toward DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert, and the Eagles likely lean into 12-personnel to stress New York’s nickel. The Giants’ structure invites that pivot. They’ve allowed 130.7 rushing yards per game (24th) and 245.3 passing (26th), with 25.3 points per game surrendered. That profile paired with Brian Burns’ individual dominance—nine sacks, first in the league—creates a strange tension: one star wrecking downs while the unit leaks efficiency everywhere else.

Running back Saquon Barkley carries the other pressure point. The baseline has lagged—88.1 rushing yards per game for Philadelphia (30th) on 3.3 yards per carry—but the opponent unlocks corrective volume. New York’s front yields 5.2 per rush and has been mauled situationally when forced to play heavy, then chase on second level cutbacks. Barkley’s 18 carries for 44 yards last week look pedestrian; the context says persistence mattered as the pass game strafed. Against the Giants, persistence should convert to production. With Brown down and Cam Jurgens questionable at center, structure gravitates to the ground and quick-game, which protects the pivot and shrinks exposure to simulated pressures.

New York counters with a rookie quarterback who has ignited drives and belief. Quarterback Jaxson Dart has thrown for 791 yards on 60.2% with seven touchdowns and three interceptions across four starts, adding 178 rushing yards and three scores. The early catalog shows daring and volatility. He lifted New York in that Week 6 win with 283 yards and three total touchdowns, then authored both brilliance and the backbreaking interception in Denver’s 33–32 comeback. His lifelines are honest: Cam Skattebo’s 398 rushing yards and five touchdowns supplying downhill tone; Wan’Dale Robinson’s 35 catches for 446 yards turning option routes and crossers into chain movement; Theo Johnson muscling red-zone leverage as the tight-end finisher. The Giants average 125.1 rushing yards (11th) and 21.9 points, a productive shell that can travel if the offensive line survives the opening rush.

That survival is the hinge. Dexter Lawrence’s power is real, but Philadelphia’s interior, potentially with Brett Toth at center if Jurgens can’t go, must keep calls clean against creepers and late movement. On the other side, the Eagles’ front will hunt Dart’s landmarks. They’ve given up too many rushing yards (127.9 per game), but the pass defense tightened in Minnesota with takeaways and timely rush wins. The secondary remains vulnerable in pockets, yet the platform is different in the Linc with crowd-noise cadence tax. That matters for blitz pickup and hot throws, the exact areas that turned last meeting’s third downs into a Giants clinic (11-of-16) and the Eagles’ night into static.

Eagles vs. Vikings pick, best bet

Important to always foreground their last meeting. Sixteen days ago, the Eagles went 1-for-9 on third down and wore that scar home. That failure will govern this rematch’s heartbeat. The crowd will surge on every money down, and the headset will answer with heavier 12-personnel, firmer run intent, and a cleaner third-down menu. Philadelphia doesn’t need fireworks to settle the score; it needs command. The Giants won the chaos game in Week 6. The Eagles will win the control game at the Linc.

Betting context clarifies the pivot. The number sits in the touchdown band for a reason: divisional familiarity and the Week 6 shock. Philadelphia hasn’t bullied big spreads, and New York has covered 7.5 in this profile. Yet the sharper edge isn’t the full-game total; it’s isolating New York’s scoring. The Eagles’ offense ranks 26th in yards per game and 30th in rushing, but the Giants’ offense stalls into mistake clusters and hands the ball back. Even last week’s Philadelphia air damage rode ruthless efficiency, not volume. Layer that with the revenge tax and a possession-weighted script, and the cleaner wager shines.

So how will it manifest, snap to snap? Expect the Eagles to deploy tempo in short bursts, not long sprints, to trap New York in personnel and hammer inside zone and duo until the second level yields. Goedert will sponge stick, glance, and sail as Brown’s target inheritance, then Smith will pierce with a post when safeties lean. Barkley’s carries will stack early, testing a front that has allowed 130.7 rushing yards per game and tends to overfit edges when pulled. Defensively, Philadelphia will present five-man surfaces, choke Cam Skattebo on early downs, and push Jaxson Dart into third-and-long, where the rush package blooms and the ball must travel. New York will counter with Robinson and Theo Johnson as efficiency valves and sprinkle read-option keepers to stress the edges; the problem will be sustaining that without explosives once the field tilts.

Here’s where the difference-maker lives, and it should arrive with payback heat. Dallas Goedert should become the offense’s metronome without Brown, stacking eight to ten targets as Philadelphia toggles 12-personnel and punishes leverage. I expect him to convert three third downs and draw safety eyes that spring Smith for one deep-breaking explosive. Saquon Barkley should reclaim volume, not necessarily burst, but New York’s 130.7 rushing yards allowed suggests repeatable gains; I expect twenty-plus carries, one of them cracking late as the Giants wilt under snap count. Burns will win rushes, but I expect Philadelphia to slide and chip enough to keep him at one sack while a cleaner snap operation prevents interior chaos. That’s how revenge breathes: not with fireworks, but with suffocation, possession, and the middle eight owned.

Final: Eagles 24, Giants 16. Play Eagles -7.5. Revenge angle, best angle.

Best bet: Eagles -7.5 (+100) vs New York Giants

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For a prop lean, I’m on Saquon Barkley o17.5 rushing attempts. Saquon Barkley over 17.5 rushing attempts. New York’s defense profiles as a volume funnel on the ground—bottom-third in EPA/play allowed, success rate allowed, and explosive run plays allowed, with a low pressure rate that reduces front-seven havoc (all of which historically correlates with opponents sticking to the run) Independent models flag this exact matchup as an “eruption spot” for rushing volume: per the rushing-EPA matrix, the Giants grade out worst in the league in rushing EPA allowed, a glaring edge for Philadelphia’s run script. On the other side of the ledger, the Eagles’ offense just posted season-high efficiency (0.253 EPA/play; 85.5 PFF offense grade), a signal for sustained drives and total play count—key ingredients for 18+ carry outcomes even without elite per-rush explosiveness. Net it out: a defense that bleeds rushing EPA plus an offense trending up in drive sustainability = a positive attempts expectation; laddering to 20+ is reasonable at plus pricing.

Best prop lean: Saquon Barkley o17.5 rushing attempts (-125)

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