The Cincinnati Bengals (3-5) play the Chicago Bears (4-3) Sunday in Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Kickoff in the Week 9 game is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Bears vs. Bengals odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Chicago’s 4-game winning streak was snapped last week with a 30-16 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, failing to cover as a 2.5-point road underdog with the Over (45.5) narrowly hitting. QB Caleb Williams threw for 285 yards and an interception while RB D’Andre Swift , who will not play Sunday, carried the ball 11 times for 45 yards and a TD. The Bears were penalized 11 times for 79 yards.

Cincinnati lost for the fifth time in its last 6 games last week. They lost 39-38 to the New York Jets, who were winless entering the game, while failing to cover as a 5.5-point home favorite with the Over (43.5) hitting with ease. QB Joe Flacco threw for 223 yards and 2 TDs while punching one in on the ground too. The Bengals put the pieces together in their running game with 181 yards and 3 TDs, averaging 7.9 yards per carry. WR Ja’Marr Chase (12 receptions, 91 yards) had 19 targets from Flacco, while no other receiver had more than 3 in the loss.

The Bears won the last meeting with the Bengals 20-17 in 2021 to even the all-time series at 6-6.

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Bears at Bengals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:51 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bears -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Bengals +130 (bet $100 to win $130)Against the spread (ATS): Bears -3 (-105) | Bengals +3 (-125)Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Bears at Bengals key injuries

Bears

RB Roschon Johnson (back) outDE Dominique Robinson (ankle) outRB D’Andre Swift (groin) out

Bengals

LB Oren Burks (groin) questionableQB Joe Flacco (shoulder) questionableDE Trey Hendrickson (hip) doubtfulG Dalton Risner (illness) questionableLB Logan Wilson (calf) doubtfulCB Marco Wilson (hamstring) doubtfulBears at Bengals picks and predictionsPrediction

Bengals 30, Bears 27

BET BENGALS (+130).

Despite the Bengals having one of their worst losses in franchise history, allowing over 500 yards of offense and 39 points to one of the NFL’s worst offenses, they play at home, where 2 of their 3 wins have happened. Flacco has brought leadership to the team that it hopes translates to QB Jake Browning if he has to replace Flacco, who has been dealing with a shoulder injury.

The Bears will be without 2 of their 3 top running backs, limiting their ability to optionize the offense and providing a struggling Bengals’ defense a big opportunity to create big plays.

Plus-money on the Bengals moneyline is a good value for an offense that has scored 69 points over its last 2 weeks combined.

PASS.

The moneyline has better value on the Bengals in this matchup.

BET OVER 51.5 (-110).

Although this total is higher than average, the Bengals’ offense has scored at least 24 points in 3 of their last 4 games, while the defense has allowed at least 27 points in all but 1 game this season.

The Bears have scored at least 25 points in 4 of their last 5 games while allowing at least 24 points in 3 of their last 4 games.

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