NFL overreactions Week 10: Dolphins beat Bills, NFC West race heats up
USA TODAY Sports’ Prince Grimes ‘overreacts’ to some of the best games from Sunday’s Week 10 slate.
The Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins play on Sunday, Nov. 16, at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain, in a game on the NFL Week 11 schedule.
Which team will win the NFL Week 11 international football game?
Check out these NFL Week 11 picks and NFL Week 11 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 7:30 a.m. MST on NFL Network (stream with FUBO).
The Dolphins are a 2-point favorite over the Commanders in NFL Week 11 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Miami is -130 on the moneyline, while Washington is +110. The over/under (point total) is set at 46.5 points.
NFL Week 11 picks: Jets at Patriots | Commanders vs Dolphins | Panthers at Falcons | Buccaneers at Bills | Chargers at Jaguars | Bears at Vikings | Packers at Giants | Bengals at Steelers | Texans at Titans | 49ers at Cardinals | Seahawks at Rams | Ravens at Browns | Chiefs at Broncos | Lions at Eagles | Cowboys at Raiders | The Republic’s predictions
Watch Commanders vs Dolphins live on FUBO (free trial)
Jeremy Cluff writes: “The Commanders have dropped five straight games and face a Miami team that stood out in a win over the Bills in Week 10. Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins will start a win streak in Madrid.”
Bookies.com: Bet the Dolphins to cover vs Commanders
Bill Speros writes: “The NFL ships a pair of 3-7 teams to Spain. The Dolphins upended the Bills Sunday. The Commanders continued their slide into oblivion and got double-up at home, 44-22, by the Lions. Miami gives points for just the 3rd time this season, so that clouds a 5-4 record ATS. But the Dolphins have won 2 of 3. Tua Tagovailoa continues to improve. Meanwhile, Washington’s free fall hit 5 straight losses Sunday. And only one of those games have been close. Vamos, Delfines.”
The site’s formula predicts that the Commanders will win the NFL Week 11 game against the Dolphins.
ESPN: Commanders have a 51.1% chance to beat Dolphins on Sunday
The site gives the Dolphins a 48.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Dimers: Commanders 26, Dolphins 23
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Commanders a win probability of 63%, while the Dolphins have a win probability of 37%.”
Sportsnaut: Miami Dolphins 31, Washington Commanders 20
Matt Johnson writes: “The Miami Dolphins are riding high after Sunday’s win versus the Bills, and they now have a golden opportunity to make it consecutive victories. That’s in large part because defensively, the Washington Commanders are surrendering 38.5 points and 451.3 total yards per game over the last month, with the highest yards-per-play average allowed (7.37) in the NFL. Without Terry McLaurin and Jayden Daniels, there’s not remotely enough teeth to the Commanders’ offense to put up a competitive fight. It should be a great Sunday for Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins.”
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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