Here are the key insights and trends you need to know about Michael Penix Jr. and his player prop bet options. He’ll take the field Sunday starting at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. Penix and the Atlanta Falcons (3-6) ready for an NFC South matchup in Week 11 with the Carolina Panthers (5-5) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
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Michael Penix Jr. week 11 player propsMatchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina PanthersTime: 1 p.m. ETDate: November 16, 2025Passing yards prop: Over 226.5 (-118)Rushing yards prop: Over 7.5 (-115)
National Football League odds courtesy of BetMGM. Odds updated Wednesday at 10:48 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Michael Penix Jr. passing stats and trendsPenix’s passing yardage average this year (225.9) is 0.6 below Sunday’s over/under.He has exceeded 226.5 passing yards four times across eight games played this season.Penix has thrown for more than his season prop average (223.4 yards) by 2.5 yards per game.Penix has surpassed his passing yards prop total in four of eight opportunities this season.In six of eight games this year, he has thrown a touchdown pass, including two games with multiple TD passes.Penix has been intercepted in two games this year (out of eight), including multiple picks on one occasion.Falcons vs. Panthers stats and trendsThe 211.8 passing yards the Panthers give up per game makes them the NFL’s 15th-ranked pass defense this season.The Falcons sport the 16th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (211.4 passing yards per game), and they’ve been more effective on defense, ranking best with only 162.3 passing yards allowed per game.Despite sporting a bottom-five run defense that ranks fourth-worst in the NFL (146.4 rushing yards allowed per game), the Falcons have had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th in the NFL by totaling 119.3 rushing yards per game.The Falcons are gaining 5.6 yards per play (15th in the league), while giving up 5.6 per play on the defensive side of the ball (15th in the NFL) this season.
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