The Baltimore Ravens welcome the low-flying New York Jets on Sunday for what is, on paper, their easiest game of the season. While games are obviously not played on paper, the Jets are considered by many to be among the worst teams in the National Football League.

They stayed winless deeper into the 2025 season than any other team. Still, they’ll come to M&T Bank Stadium with a 2-8 record, which, to their credit, is better than both their MetLife Stadium roommates, the New York Giants (2-9) and the Tennessee Titans (1-9).

The Jets have a new captain piloting their offense this week, as coach Aaron Glenn has now benched his starter, Justin Fields. Taking his place is a familiar face to Ravens fans, the 36-year-old Tyrod Taylor. The 14-year NFL veteran is now on his seventh team, but Baltimore was his first, when they drafted him out of Virginia Tech in the sixth round, way back in 2011.

The switch from Fields to Taylor hasn’t moved the needle much in gaming analytics. In researching sportsbook reviews and analyzing predictive models, we found significant consistency across the betting markets. The Ravens are more or less two-touchdown favorites this weekend.

We begin, as always, with USA Today’s NFL Scores and Odds hub, where Baltimore is favored by -13.5, or -110.  Bet MGM, which provides the USA Today hub with its odds and spreads, shows a significant disparity on the money line: Baltimore is -880 and NYJ is +630.

That’s a disparity of 1,510, and that’s pretty significant for a November NFL regular-season game. That is especially true when you consider that the Ravens, at 5-5, are just three games behind the Jets. As for the over/under, it’s set at 44.5. That projects to a Ravens win, with a final score in the neighborhood of 29-15.

Shifting gears to ESPN Analytics, their Matchup Predictor gives the Ravens a 79.7% chance of victory, versus just 20.2% for the visitors. There’s a non-zero chance for a tie, although it is barely above zero at 0.1%. The wagering arm of the corporation, ESPN Bet, has the Ravens favored by 13.5, but it opened at 14.5, so maybe that single-point shift was due to the news of Taylor replacing Fields?

It sounds right, but it’s difficult to prove, kind of like when a news report states “the stock market went down on news of reason XYZ.”

The ESPN money line has an even bigger disparity: Baltimore -1400 and the Jets +750. The ESPN Bet total matches USA Today’s at 44.5.