NFL overreactions Week 10: Dolphins beat Bills, NFC West race heats up
USA TODAY Sports’ Prince Grimes ‘overreacts’ to some of the best games from Sunday’s Week 10 slate.
The Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars play on Sunday, Nov. 16, at the Jaguars’ EverBank Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 11 schedule.
Which team will win the NFL Week 11 game?
Check out these NFL Week 11 picks and NFL Week 11 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 11 a.m. MST on CBS (stream with FUBO).
The Chargers are a 36-point favorite over the Jaguars in NFL Week 11 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Los Angeles is -150 on the moneyline, while Jacksonville is +125. The over/under (point total) is set at 43.5 points.
NFL Week 11 picks: Jets at Patriots | Commanders vs Dolphins | Panthers at Falcons | Buccaneers at Bills | Chargers at Jaguars | Bears at Vikings | Packers at Giants | Bengals at Steelers | Texans at Titans | 49ers at Cardinals | Seahawks at Rams | Ravens at Browns | Chiefs at Broncos | Lions at Eagles | Cowboys at Raiders | The Republic’s predictions
Watch Chargers at Jaguars live on FUBO (free trial)
Jeremy Cluff writes: “Will the Jaguars be able to move on from their collapse in the fourth quarter against the Texans in Week 10? The Chargers’ defense will come up with some huge plays late in this game.”
Bookies.com: Bet the Jaguars with the points vs Chargers
Bill Speros writes: “No team in NFL history will have traveled more miles in one season than the Chargers in 2025 (37,806). This marks their fourth journey to the Eastern Time Zone. (That doesn’t count a season-opening visit to Brazil – which is one hour ahead of the New York and Jacksonville.) And LA failed to cover in the previous three Eastern visits. The Jaguars blew a 19-point lead, and gave up 26 points in the 4th quarter, during their 36-29 loss at Houston Sunday. The Bolts may feel revved up after a dominant win at home over Pittsburgh Sunday night. But in a season where mediocre teams flip week-to-week (and we’ve got two of them here), look for a reversal of fortune here.”
The site’s formula predicts that the Chargers will win the NFL Week 11 game against the Jaguars.
ESPN: Chargers have a 57.2% chance to beat Jaguars on Sunday
The site gives the Jaguars a 42.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Dimers: Chargers 24, Jaguars 21
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Chargers a win probability of 59%, while the Jaguars have a win probability of 41%.”
Sportsnaut: Los Angeles Chargers 24, Jacksonville Jaguars 17
Matt Johnson writes: “The Los Angeles Chargers are in trouble against opponents who can get after the quarterback and pound the rock. Jacksonville’s defense has just 6 sacks in the last six games on over 230 dropbacks by its opponents. Furthermore, the Jaguars offense is averaging just 101.4 rushing yards per game and 3.8 yards per carry in the last five contests. Jacksonville simply doesn’t have what it needs to beat Los Angeles.”
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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