The Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off in an AFC matchup that will have plenty of implications on the postseason. The Colts are aiming to lock up the AFC South and take a step toward being in contention for the No. 1 seed in the conference, while the Chiefs are hoping to get back into a playoff spot. At 5-5, they can likely only afford one or two more losses the rest of the season.
You can find my best bet for the game in this week’s edition of the Road to 272 Bets. In this article, I’m going to give you my best bets for this AFC matchup.
Jonathan Taylor OVER 90.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Let’s bet on Jonathan Taylor to continue his MVP-worthy season. The Chiefs have done a lot of things well this season, but stopping the run consistently continues to be an issue for them. They rank 24th in opponent rush EPA and 17th in opponent rush success rate, which should lead to a big day for JT. Keeping the ball on the ground, draining the clock, and keeping the Chiefs’ offense off the field is a strong game plan for the Colts.
Rashee Rice UNDER 6.5 Receptions (+114)
Rashee Rice has been the clear primary target for Patrick Mahomes since the star wide receiver returned from his suspension, but he has an extremely tough matchup ahead of this weekend in Sauce Gardner, the Colts’ new acquisition at cornerback. Rice may still get a few receptions and a chunk of yards, but I struggle seeing him hauling in seven or more receptions against Gardner. I love the UNDER on this bet at plus-money.
Daniel Jones Anytime Touchdown (+350)
In this week’s edition of the Player Prop Countdown, I ranked Daniel Jones scoring a touchdown as my No. 9 player prop for Week 12:
The Chiefs have allowed the most rushing yards and rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks this season, with five total touchdowns being scored by opposing quarterbacks. That should be music to the ears of Daniel Jones, who’s in the midst of his best season as a rusher, already scoring five touchdowns with his legs. He’s a great dark horse bet to find the end zone on Sunday.
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You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!