Sunday Night Football brings a crucial AFC vs. NFC matchup as the Denver Broncos visit the Washington Commanders. With the Broncos favored in a game projected to be higher scoring than expected, Bet365 is featuring a high-value player prop on Denver’s top rushing threat, RJ Harvey, to open the scoring.

RJ Harvey leads all players in the game with an 11.0% probability of scoring the first touchdown, making the +450 odds a compelling option for a high-payout prop bet.

Bet365 Prop: RJ Harvey First Touchdown Scorer (+450)

The prop targets the talented rookie running back to get the scoring started for the favored Broncos.

The Player Prop: RJ Harvey First Touchdown ScorerTeam: Denver BroncosOdds: +450Model Probability Note: Dimers’ simulations give RJ Harvey the highest probability (11.0%) of scoring the first touchdown among all players on both teams.Game Details: Broncos vs. Commanders (Sunday Night Football)

The key information you need before the Broncos vs. Commanders NFL game.

Teams: Denver Broncos vs. Washington CommandersDate: Sunday, November 30, 2025Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ESTLocation: Northwest StadiumSpread: Broncos -6.5 (-105) | Commanders +6.5 (-115)Moneyline: Broncos -280 | Commanders +240Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-105/-110) The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.Expert Prediction: Broncos vs. Commanders

Using advanced data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday’s matchup.

Model Win Probability: The Broncos are more likely to beat the Commanders, with a 68% chance of winning the game.Top Value Bet: Our top pick is to bet on Over 43.5 points (-105), which has a 57% chance of hitting in simulations.Spread Projection: The Commanders (+6.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread.Score Prediction for Broncos vs. CommandersDimers’ predicted final score for the game is: Broncos 25, Commanders 20. This projected 45-point total aligns with the model’s preference for the Over 43.5.NFL Player Props: Touchdown and Yardage Leaders

RJ Harvey is projected to be the Broncos’ leading rusher, and he tops the First Touchdown odds for the game.

Denver Broncos Player ProjectionsFirst Touchdown Scorer PredictionsRJ Harvey: 11.0% probabilityCourtland Sutton: 8.0% probabilityTroy Franklin: 8.0% probabilityAnytime Touchdown PredictionsRJ Harvey: 43.7% probabilityCourtland Sutton: 34.0% probabilityTroy Franklin: 33.9% probabilityProjected Box Score LeadersQB Passing Yards: Bo Nix, 237 yardsReceiving Yards: Troy Franklin, 56 yardsRushing Yards: RJ Harvey, 55 yardsWashington Commanders Player ProjectionsFirst Touchdown Scorer PredictionsChris Rodriguez: 7.8% probabilityTerry McLaurin: 6.3% probabilityDeebo Samuel: 6.2% probabilityAnytime Touchdown PredictionsChris Rodriguez: 35.9% probabilityTerry McLaurin: 30.2% probabilityDeebo Samuel: 29.7% probabilityProjected Box Score LeadersQB Passing Yards: Marcus Mariota, 204 yardsReceiving Yards: Terry McLaurin, 48 yardsRushing Yards: Chris Rodriguez, 44 yardsBroncos vs. Commanders Best Bet

The model’s strongest play on the standard market is Over 43.5 points (-105). However, for a high-value prop, the Bet365 RJ Harvey First Touchdown Scorer (+450) is the top choice. Harvey is the statistical favorite (11.0% probability) to score first, and the generous +450 odds provide an excellent payout opportunity for the Sunday Night Football slate.

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