A chilly Sunday at Lambeau Field feels like the perfect setting for an NFC North showdown between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers in Week 14.
Both teams are coming off huge mid-week wins and chase each other in the divisional standings, with Chicago holding a one-game edge over Green Bay.
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My early Bears vs. Packers predictions and NFL picks break down the opening odds and early line moves for December 7.
Bears vs Packers predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
Early Bears vs Packers spread pick: Bears +6.5
This game had a look-ahead spread of Green Bay Packers -5.5, and that’s where the official opener landed before early money on the home team pushed this line to Packers -6.5 on Monday morning.
Bettors attacked the Cheeseheads below the key number of 6, and bookmakers quickly shuffled this spread, immediately pumping it up a point. That spread could continue to grow if buyback on the Chicago Bears doesn’t show.
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If you like Chicago, you may want to wait and see if a touchdown comes around later in the week. Friday’s win over the Eagles proved the Bears could take down elite opponents, and divisional games always breed competition.
Chicago’s offense is legit and will pose a tough test for the Packers’ stop unit. The Bears offensive line is tops in pass block win rate, unlike the Lions’ depleted pass protection that got swarmed by Green Bay in Week 13.
Early Bears vs Packers total pick: Over 44.5
This total officially opened at 45.5 points and has since dropped to 44.5 O/U. Books have this number parked between key totals of 44 and 46 points, allowing room to react to the Wisconsin winter.
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The extended forecast for Lambeau Field calls for chilly conditions in Week 14, with sub-freezing conditions. However, factors like rain, snow, and wind aren’t expected, and we could see the market overreact to the cold.
Packers QB Jordan Love has looked very sharp the past three games, ranking out at the No. 1 passer in EPA per play since Week 11. The Cheeseheads are moving the chains on third downs and scoring TDs at an 80% inside the red zone during that span.
Chicago’s playbook under new head coach Ben Johnson seems to be getting better by the week and hung 425 yards on the Eagles defense last Friday. That game saw Chicago picked up 28 first downs and dominate the football for more than 39 minutes.
Bears vs Packers odds
Bears vs. Packers spread: Packers -6.5
Bears vs. Packers moneyline: Bears +260, Packers -320
Bears vs. Packers Over/Under: 44.5
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How to watch Bears vs Packers
Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025, 4:25 p.m. ET
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here