Welcome to The Athletic’s 2025 NFL Playoff Simulator, where you’ll find everything you need to know about all the ways your favorite team’s season could end, from a No. 1 playoff seed to the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

The tables above represent our best guess for the final playoff picture, along with a view of the standings if the season ended today. Below, you’ll find much more detailed estimates for all 32 NFL teams. All these estimates are powered by Austin Mock’s NFL Projection Model. You can read more about this tool and how it works right here, and send in your questions to AskAustin@theathletic.com.

About the simulator: We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often each team makes the playoffs, gets the No. 1 seed, the No. 1 draft pick and so on. We estimate each team’s probability of winning each remaining game using a statistical forecast that incorporates a host of data, including team records, roster changes, weather, game location and more advanced measures like expected points added and success rate.

By Ryan Best, David Haye, Elliot Jordan, Junghye Kim, Austin Mock, Matt Myers, Thomas Oide, Laura Pelton, Yuriko Schumacher and Oliver Viehweger

Adapted from The New York Times’s NFL Playoff Simulator.