While it’s not technically an elimination game, if the Dallas Cowboys or Detroit Lions lose tonight, their playoff odds go from somewhat manageable to needing a Christmas miracle. With a win, each team will see its odds rise considerably.
Understanding what’s at stake, Detroit will see Amon-Ra St. Brown active. The Lions will also get center Graham Glasgow back after missing last week. Last week’s center, Tyrstan Colon, likely gets the nod at left guard with Kayode Awosika out.
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The Cowboys have been trending in the right direction with the addition of Quinnen Williams. He’s made that defense go from lackluster to serviceable, but the Cowboys haven’t faced a rushing attack like the Lions. Success on the ground should open up things over the middle for St. Brown and Jahymr Gibbs through the air, which could lead to explosive plays over the top, especially without Trevon Diggs.
Dak Prescott continues to play like an MVP. He gets a Lions defense that has struggled to rush the passer. However, no Tyler Guyton could make things easier for Detroit. Statistically, the Lions’ defense is above average. Statistically, the Cowboys struggled to run the ball when their left tackle was healthy. Those should offset the advantages Dallas has on the perimeter.
So, a white-hot team in Dallas takes on a Detroit squad looking to salvage its season. Away from home, the Cowboys are 0-4 against teams with an above .500 record. Tonight should come down to coaching, penalties, and who gets the most stops. I expect experience to prevail for the team in the preseason; many expected them to have the best record in the NFC.
Lions 30, Dallas 24.