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The Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Houston Texans (7-5), despite the Texans having won four games straight. The total for this one is set at 41.5 points.
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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines Chiefs vs Texans Betting Information updated as of December 5, 2025, 7:33 p.m. ET. Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Chiefs -3.5 -110 -110 41.5 -115 -105
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Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & PickPick ATS: Texans (+3.5)
Pick OU: Over (41.5)
Prediction: Texans 22 – Chiefs 19How to Watch Kansas City vs. HoustonGame date: Sunday, December 7, 2025Time: 8:20 p.m. ETVenue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumLocation: Kansas City, MissouriTV: NBC/PeacockLive Boxscore: FOX SportsChiefs vs. Texans Recent MatchupsIn their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has won against Houston four times.In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has scored 155 points versus Houston, while surrendering only 119 points.Kansas City Betting InfoAgainst the spread, Kansas City is 5-7-0 this year.The Chiefs have been favored by 3.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games.Kansas City contests this year have hit the over 33.3% of the time (four times in 12 games with a set point total).When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chiefs are 5-5, picking up a win 50% of the time.The Chiefs have a 65.8% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.Chiefs Stats Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 256.5 (3,078) 2 Rush yards 118.3 (1,420) 15 Points scored 25.4 (305) 10 Pass yards against 205.8 (2,469) 12 Rush yards against 100.9 (1,211) 9 Points allowed 19.3 (232) 7 Kansas City’s Key PlayersOffensePatrick Mahomes has thrown for 3,238 yards (fourth in the NFL), 22 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He is averaging 269.8 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt, while completing 64.6% of his passes.He has tacked on 348 rushing yards (29.0 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.Kareem Hunt has totaled 515 rushing yards with seven touchdowns (42.9 yards per game across 12 games). His 4.0 yards per attempt rank 29th in the NFL.Hunt’s 18 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 14 catches (1.2 per game) for 114 yards (9.5 per game) and one touchdown.Through 12 games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 59.9 yards and 4.9 receptions per game on the way to 719 receiving yards and 59 catches. He’s been targeted 78 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.Rashee Rice averages 7.0 receptions and 81.0 yards per game, and has 486 total receiving yards and 42 catches. He’s gotten 59 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.DefenseOn defense, Nick Bolton has 100 tackles and 5.0 TFL in 2025. His tackle total leads the Chiefs and is 10th in the NFL.Chamarri Conner has 80 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack this season.George Karlaftis III has collected 36 tackles, 8.0 TFL, five sacks, and two passes defended.Trent McDuffie has 1.0 sack to go along with his 2.0 TFL, 62 tackles, and one interception on the season.Houston Betting InfoHouston has put together a record of 6-6-0 against the spread this season.This season, the Texans have one against-the-spread win in two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.This year, three Houston games have gone over the point total.The Texans have been underdogs in six games this season and won three (50%) of those contests.The implied probability of a win by the Texans based on the moneyline is 38.5%.Texans Stats Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 219.1 (2,629) 16 Rush yards 107.7 (1,292) 23 Points scored 21.9 (263) 22 Pass yards against 174.0 (2,088) 4 Rush yards against 91.7 (1,100) 4 Points allowed 16.5 (198) 1 Houston’s Key PlayersOffenseC.J. Stroud has passed for 1,978 yards this year, with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 66.1% of his attempts while averaging 219.8 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.On the ground, Stroud has added 189 rushing yards (third on the Texans).Nico Collins has 795 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 57 receptions, while being targeted 95 times.Woody Marks has rushed for two touchdowns this year, and has totaled 486 rushing yards (40.5 per game and 3.6 per carry).In addition to his ground game, Marks has pulled down 18 passes (on 27 targets) for 188 yards (seventh on the Texans), with two receiving touchdowns. He averages 15.7 yards per game.Nick Chubb averages 39.1 rushing yards per game through 12 games (469 total yards), with three rushing touchdowns.DefenseSo far in 2025, Will Anderson Jr. has recorded 40 tackles, 15.0 TFL, and 10.5 sacks through 12 games.Danielle Hunter’s stats include 38 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 11 sacks, and two passes defended.Kamari Lassiter has 7.0 TFL, 66 tackles, and two interceptions.Azeez Al-Shaair has 79 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and seven passes defended.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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