Commanders at Vikings odds, picks and predictions

The Washington Commanders (3-9) and the Minnesota Vikings (4-8) meet Sunday in Week 14 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Commanders vs. Vikings odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Washington’s losing streak stretched to 7 games in Week 13 with a 27-26 overtime setback to the Denver Broncos. The Commanders still covered as 6-point home underdogs — their only cover in the 7-game skid — and the Over (43) cashed. QB Marcus Mariota passed for 294 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, while adding 55 rushing yards. Unfortunately, his 2-point attempt in OT that would have won it was batted down. WR Terry McLaurin returned from injury with 7 catches for 96 yards and a TD.

Minnesota saw its losing streak reach 4 games in Week 13 with a 26-0 shutout defeat at the Seattle Seahawks. The Vikings failed to cover as 13-point underdogs, and the Under (41.5) cashed. The offense mustered just 162 yards, while the team was flagged 10 times for 80 yards. Rookie QB Max Brosmer, making his first career start, was intercepted 4 times and finished with just 126 passing yards.

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Commanders at Vikings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 2:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Commanders -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Vikings +105 (bet $100 to win $105)Against the spread (ATS): Commanders -1.5 (-110) | Vikings +1.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -105 | U: -115)Commanders at Vikings key injuries

Commanders

WR Noah Brown (groin, knee) questionableLB Bobby Wagner (knee) questionable

Vikings

OL Christian Darrisaw (knee) questionableOL Donovan Jackson (ankle) questionableS Theo Jackson (neck) outDL Levi Drake Rodriguez (neck) outCommanders at Vikings picks and predictionsPrediction

Commanders 23, Vikings 20

BET COMMANDERS (-125).

I don’t trust the Minnesota quarterback situation and Washington has QB Jayden Daniels returning under center. His mobility changes everything. Minnesota (+105) has had issues with scrambling quarterbacks, which plays right into Daniels’ strengths.

Washington also runs the ball well, ranking near the top of the league in rushing, which should help control tempo against a Vikings defense that has been solid overall but shaky against the run. On the other side, Minnesota’s offense is stuck in neutral. The Vikings have scored just 42 total points during this 4-game losing streak and were just shut out last week. Turnovers have crushed them all season, and that’s not a great recipe against an offense that can create in short fields.

Both teams are flawed, but Washington is still competing hard every week — losing back-to-back OT games. With Daniels back in the mix and the Vikings still searching for answers, I’ll take my chances backing the COMMANDERS (-125) to win outright.

PASS.

No need to play around with this small spread. I’ll keep my wager to the moneyline.

BET UNDER 44 (-115).

Minnesota hasn’t scored more than 19 points in 4 straight games — as mentioned, the Vikings totaled just 42 points in the last 4 games. Washington hasn’t been great on defense, but the Vikings offense keeps stalling.

The Vikings have played 4 Unders in a row. Add in the fact that the last 2 head-to-head meetings cashed Under tickets, and this sets up like another grind-it-out game.

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Commanders at Vikings odds, picks and predictions

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