Brendan O’Sullivan provides his top player prop bets for Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks matchup.
While the Falcons are just playing for pride, the Seahawks are in a tight NFC West race. The Seahawks, Rams and 49ers all have nine wins, making every game ultra-important going forward.
Seattle is a 6.5-point favorite and -345 on the moneyline, while Atlanta is +275 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The game total is set at 44.5 points.
Here are my favorite player props for this Week 14 NFL game between the Falcons and Seahawks.
Falcons vs. Seahawks Best Prop Bets
Bijan Robinson under 65.5 rushing yards (-114)
Bijan Robinson had a monstrous game last week, and he’s hit the over in four straight. That said, the past three games have been cupcake matchups: Jets, Saints and Panthers.
This week is against the Seahawks, who allow the second fewest rushing yards, third fewest rushing touchdowns, fourth lowest yards per carry, and fifth fewest carries. It’s a stout defense that’s fighting for a division title.
Robinson is elite, but he’s not matchup-proof. He’s fallen below this mark in four games this season. Even so, he’s always valuable because of his pass-catching ability. Robinson will likely be more of a threat in the pass game since the Seahawks could take a sizable lead.
Seattle is on the road, but it is still favored by 6.5 points. An early lead will force Atlanta to stay aggressive through the air, which will, in turn, limit Robinson’s rushing yards.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 93.5 receiving yards (-111)
Want someone seemingly matchup-proof? Look at Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The third-year wide receiver is having a breakout season, leading the league with 1,336 receiving yards. He’s going up against an Atlanta defense that allows the eighth fewest passing yards, so this isn’t a cakewalk.
That shouldn’t be an issue for the Ohio State product. He’s recorded over 93.5 receiving yards in all but three games this season — one of which was a 93-yard performance. His worst outing did come last week, but he’s playing so well this year that it’s unlikely he replicates that.
I’m not concerned about Atlanta’s defense because Smith-Njigba is torching everyone. This is just another secondary for him.