Rams, Lions offenses go nuclear — but Gibbs goes quiet

If you were hunting fantasy points, Rams-Lions was a full buffet. The Rams took it, 41-34, in a game that felt like every drive ended in fireworks — and the box score backed it up. Jared Goff threw for 338 yards and three touchdowns, but Detroit’s day was oddly lopsided. David Montgomery scored, yet both he and Jahmyr Gibbs were basically 30-yard rushers and neither back cleared 40 rushing yards. That matters — especially if you started Gibbs, because this was a straight bust: 58 total yards and no touchdowns in a game where these teams combined for 75 points. Nobody would believe that outcome until it smacked them in the face.

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Detroit’s passing tree was as condensed as it gets. Amon-Ra St. Brown went nuclear with 13 catches for 164 yards and two touchdowns on 18 targets. Jameson Williams ripped seven catches for 134 yards and a touchdown on nine targets. Khalif Raymond had one for 20. That’s it. Every other reception went to Amon-Ra, Jameson or Gibbs. If you had the wideouts, you’re celebrating. If you had Gibbs, you’re staring at your lineup as if it betrayed you.

On the Rams side, Matthew Stafford tossed 368 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. Kyren Williams and Blake Corum both scored, both hit 70 rushing yards and Kyren added an extra touchdown to separate the two. Puka Nacua led the way with nine catches for 181 yards on 11 targets, but the real playoff needle-mover is Colby Parkinson: five catches, 75 yards and two touchdowns while staying a featured piece out of 13 personnel. Parkinson has been a top-five tight end over the last five weeks in half-PPR; he needs to be in your lineup.

Davante Adams also pulled up with what looked like a significant hamstring injury mid-route. If he’s trending out for Thursday at Seattle, you need a pivot plan now.

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Instant reaction: Colby Parkinson is the tight end people are not thinking about, and the Rams’ 13-personnel usage makes him a Week 16 starter.

Lawrence Legacy Game

Trevor Lawrence just authored the kind of performance that flips the fantasy playoff board on its head. This was dominance in its purest form, not because he piled up empty yards but because he dictated every leverage point of the game. Lawrence finished with 330 passing yards and five passing touchdowns, then turned around and led Jacksonville in rushing with five carries for 51 yards and a rushing touchdown. That is a video game box score, and the history note matters: no player has ever logged 300 passing yards, five-plus passing TDs, 50-plus rushing yards and a rushing TD in one game until Lawrence did it.

The most important part for fantasy moving forward is how it happened. Under Liam Coen, Lawrence looks decisive and aggressive in the best way. He went 11-for-11 for 216 yards and three touchdowns on passes with 10-plus air yards, all career highs. That is not a fluke. That is an offense letting its quarterback stress defenses vertically, and it changes what we can project week to week. Brian Thomas Jr. found the end zone, Parker Washington posted 50 yards while Jakobi Meyers didn’t score but still finished second on the team in receiving yards. That’s real support, real spacing, real answers when the defense tries to take away the first read.

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Then there’s Travis Etienne Jr., who somehow scored three touchdowns while totaling just 32 rushing yards with a long of eight yards. Translation: the touches that matter belong to him. He converted all three scores while adding work through the air on four targets. With Denver and Indianapolis up next, keep riding the 10-4 Jaguars.

Instant reaction: Lawrence is a weekly difference-maker now and Etienne is the high-value finisher you do not bench in the fantasy playoffs.

McBride goes full alpha

Trey McBride saw Kyle Pitts Sr. light up Thursday night and decided the tight end spot belongs to him, too. Not quite the 166 yards and three touchdowns type of eruption, but make no mistake, this was still a takeover. McBride finished with 12 catches for 134 yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 13 targets, and it felt like every big moment funneled straight through him.

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One thing about Arizona: the Cardinals do not care about game script. Score, down and distance, situation, none of it matters. They’re going to keep gunning it, and Jacoby Brissett was right back at 40 pass attempts with three touchdowns, two of them to McBride and one to Michael Wilson. That volume is the whole story for fantasy. The Cardinals are not trying to hide their quarterback. They’re asking him to throw, and McBride is the first answer, second answer and the bailout option when the play breaks down.

McBride set the tone immediately. Five catches on the first drive in the first quarter is a statement, and the production never cooled off. He’s now at 16 straight games with at least five receptions, breaking his tie with Travis Kelce for the longest streak by a tight end in NFL history. He also became the first tight end ever with 100-plus receptions in back-to-back seasons. That’s not a hot stretch, that’s identity.

With Atlanta and Cincinnati on deck in Week 17 — the softest tight end schedule you can ask for — McBride is the elite of the elite moving forward.

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Instant reaction: Appreciate the monster that McBride is and Arizona’s trigger-happy approach keeps the ceiling sky-high.

Josh Allen is inevitable

It feels like a quote-unquote down season for Josh Allen, at least if you’re listening to the noise instead of looking at what’s actually happening. The scoreboard tells a different story. Allen is sitting on 37 total touchdowns to 12 turnovers, a clean 3-to-1 TD-to-turnover ratio for a quarterback who lives in the high-wire act. The “efficiency dip” crowd can keep talking, but the reality is Buffalo has been dragged across the finish line by No. 17 over and over again.

This week was the latest proof. Down 21-0 on the road against New England, win probability cratered to 6.2%. Allen still found a way to turn panic into points. Three passing touchdowns, calm feet, violent intent. He’s now 4-0 in games where his defense gives up 31-plus points, which is completely absurd. Most quarterbacks get buried in that kind of script. Allen treats it like a challenge coin.

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And yes, we all know the talking point: “He doesn’t have wide receivers.” Cool. So what? He still bends games to his will because he’s not playing the same sport as everyone else in chaos moments. He’ll keep the offense afloat, he’ll take the hit, he’ll make the throw and he’ll share the glory, too. James Cook scored two touchdowns, and one of those could have been Allen sneaking it in, but Allen handed his RB the moment. That’s leadership and it matters when the season tightens.

Cleveland is next but I’m not sweating it. Week 17 against Philly is the type of stage Allen lives for. MVP talk is not nostalgia, it’s present tense.

Instant reaction: Josh Allen is a superstar, he is inevitable, and he’s carrying fantasy managers the same way he carries Buffalo.

Wrong Wrist, Wrong Game

We were riding high after last week’s near 400-yard heater from Shedeur Sanders. This week, nobody was holding up their wrist to show off the watches because it was not his time — and it sure wasn’t Cleveland’s time either. The Browns walked into Chicago and got put on ice from the opening snap. Not “struggled.” Not “had a slow start.” This was an unmitigated disaster.

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Sanders threw three interceptions, took five sacks, posted a QBR of 8 and somehow still ended up as Cleveland’s leading rusher with 24 yards. That’s not a fun quirky stat. That’s a red flag the size of the stadium. The offense had no answers, no rhythm, no protection and no ability to pivot when the Bears turned the screws. Quinshon Judkins scraped together 21 yards and never had a runway. Isaiah Bond led the team with 89 receiving yards, Harold Fannin Jr. paced them with seven catches, and it still felt like they were playing uphill the entire day.

The most brutal detail is the one you can’t unsee: Cleveland’s first offensive possession started inside its own one-yard line, and that was the closest it got to the end zone all game.

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ITS end zone. Think about that.

Jerry Jeudy dropped a touchdown that would’ve at least given fantasy managers something to hold onto, and it turned into the kind of tip-drill chaos that defined the afternoon.

Next week is Buffalo. Good luck. Judkins is unplayable and Fannin is the only startable piece, even if it’s with a clenched jaw.

Instant reaction: Shedeur had the wrong wrist, the wrong script and the Browns have no business dragging your fantasy lineup into next week.

Burrow, Bengals hit rock bottom

It was an ominous week in Cincinnati before this game even kicked off. Joe Burrow stood at the podium and talked about the grind, the struggle, the weight of this season. Then the Bengals came out and played like a team carrying every ounce of that pressure. The result was the kind of scoreline you don’t ever expect to see next to Burrow’s name: 24-0. You can tell me Baltimore wins, sure. You tell me Baltimore blanks Cincinnati at home and I’m supposed to nod along like it makes sense?

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Not a chance. Yet here we are.

Burrow was bad. Two interceptions, one of them a pick-six, plus three sacks and an offense that never found oxygen. The protection was leaky, the timing was off and the Bengals never looked like they believed a touchdown drive was coming. That is a brutal sentence to write about this team in December, but it’s the truth.

Ja’Marr Chase was the lone player who even remotely had a pulse. Sixteen targets is elite usage, and it was good to see him back over 100 yards after the recent roller coaster, but targets without touchdowns don’t win playoff matchups by themselves. If you started Burrow, Chase Brown, Mike Gesicki in a pinch, this was a fantasy landmine that ended seasons.

And the wild part is, Baltimore didn’t even have to be perfect. Lamar Jackson threw an interception and took four sacks. Derrick Henry didn’t score. Mark Andrews gave you nothing. The Ravens still walked out with a shutout because Cincinnati never showed up.

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Miami and Arizona are next. The matchups will be there. But the effort has to be too.

Instant reaction: Burrow looked defeated, the Bengals played lifeless and if they don’t wake up fast, they’ll take fantasy lineups down with them.

Saquon’s signs of life

I’m not going to go too crazy here, but Philadelphia finally hit the reset button. The Eagles snapped their three-game skid in a get-right spot and they did it with a statement: 31-0. Goose-egged the Raiders, blanked them and shut them out while missing key bodies, including no Jalen Carter. That’s the kind of win that stops the bleeding and lets you breathe again heading into the fantasy playoffs.

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The fantasy angle starts and ends with Saquon Barkley starting to look like Saquon Barkley again. Back-to-back solid games, back-to-back rushing touchdowns. He posted 78 rushing yards and a touchdown plus two catches for 14 yards, and the biggest part is the trend, not the box score. Barkley has now scored a rushing touchdown in consecutive games for the first time since Week 1 and Week 2. That matters because the weeks are running out and we need bankable outcomes, not vibes.

This was not some wide-open track meet either. The Eagles run game still feels like tough sledding at times. Barkley had to earn it, and the unit as a whole still doesn’t look like it’s steamrolling people. Philadelphia leaned on efficiency, short fields and finishing drives. Jalen Hurts threw three touchdowns on 175 passing yards, Dallas Goedert found the end zone twice and A.J. Brown scored once. Not a ton of yardage, just points.

The next stretch sets up nicely. Washington is up next, then at Buffalo and back to the Commanders to wrap the regular season. Barkley’s arrow is finally pointing the right way.

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Instant reaction: Saquon is stacking touchdowns again, and that’s exactly the kind of trend you ride into the fantasy playoffs.

Nico Collins is the spark

Nico Collins got it poppin’ damn near the first snap, and once he did, this game was basically over. Houston came out at home like it had a schedule to keep, and Nico hit the ignition on the first drive with a 57-yard touchdown that turned the entire afternoon into a dog-walk. The Texans hung a 40-burger on the Cardinals, the defense stayed nasty and the offense never had to chase volume because the early haymaker controlled everything.

Nico finished with three catches for 85 yards and two touchdowns on just four targets, and that’s the cheat code with him. He doesn’t need 12 looks to ruin a defense. He needs one window and one clean throw. Since coming back from injury, C.J. Stroud has been exactly what this build needs: efficient, decisive, protecting the ball, cashing shots when they present themselves. This was his first multi-touchdown passing game since October, and it came the Houston way, not by spamming throws but by landing punches.

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And let’s be clear, Dalton Schultz is not just “involved” — Schultz needs to be in your lineup. The volume is real and it’s been real for a while now. He’s quietly posted four double-digit target games in his last six, and that type of steady usage at tight end is priceless in the fantasy playoffs. When teams tilt coverage toward Collins or play shell to avoid explosives, Schultz becomes the chain-mover and the safety valve, and Stroud keeps feeding him.

Next up are the Raiders, then the Chargers. Week 16 versus Las Vegas is the kind of matchup that can drag your lineup to the promised land.

Instant reaction: Nico is the spark, Schultz is the weekly volume lock and Houston’s efficiency is exactly what you want in the fantasy playoffs.

Henderson hits turbo

New England fell to Buffalo, 35-31, but this one was not on the rookie running back. TreVeyon Henderson was the best Patriot on the field and he did it in the most fantasy-friendly way possible: chunk plays that detonate a matchup in one snap. Henderson finished with 14 carries for 148 yards and two touchdowns, and the efficiency was borderline disrespectful. When he hits the crease, it does not look like normal NFL speed. It looks like somebody hit fast forward.

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The Patriots got production elsewhere on the ground, too. Rhamondre Stevenson popped six carries for 50 yards and Drake Maye added four carries for 43 yards, but Henderson is the one who changes the geometry of the game. That’s the difference between “nice rushing day” and “your opponent just lost their playoff matchup in the first round.” Henderson is doing it without needing to be a 20-touch grinder. Even on 49% of the snaps, he can swing your entire week because his touches come with real home run equity.

And the historical note is loud. Henderson now has four 50-plus-yard rushing touchdowns this season, the most by a rookie since 2000, tied with Saquon Barkley. That’s rare company, and the next name in the neighborhood is Adrian Peterson, which tells you what kind of juice we’re talking about. He hit 21 miles per hour on a 65-yard touchdown run, and once he’s into the second level, it’s curtains.

Early season usage frustration is officially in the rearview. This is why you drafted him.

Instant reaction: TreVeyon Henderson is the definition of a league-winner in 2025.