Buccaneers vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 16

The Buccaneers are -3 point favorites vs the Panthers

Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points

Watch this game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (7-7-0) on Dec. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Buccaneers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Spread

Total

Money

Buccaneers

Panthers

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this game with 59.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Buccaneers vs Panthers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Panthers vs Buccaneers and all NFL games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

Rachaad White has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 47% ROI)

Sterling Shepard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Sterling Shepard has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.35 Units / 63% ROI)

Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Tez Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Bryce Young has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 63% ROI)

Bryce Young has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)

Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)

Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)

Xavier Legette has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Buccaneers

Player Name

Over

Under

Emeka Egbuka (TB)

45.5 -118

45.5 -110

Chris Godwin (TB)

32.5 -118

32.5 -110

Tetairoa McMillan (CAR)

58.5 -115

Jalen McMillan (TB)

18.5 -110

18.5 -118

Chuba Hubbard (CAR)

11.5 -120

11.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Buccaneers

Player Name

Over

Under

Bryce Young (CAR)

12.5 -120

12.5 -110

Bucky Irving (TB)

69.5 -118

69.5 -110

Chuba Hubbard (CAR)

32.5 -118

32.5 -110

Rico Dowdle (CAR)

57.5 -115

Buccaneers Best Bets:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 27% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Panthers Best Bets:

The Carolina Panthers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+7.97 Units / 34% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+7.23 Units / 39% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 5-9 (-5 Units / -32.47% ROI).

Buccaneers are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -17.11% ROI

Buccaneers are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Buccaneers are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 8-6 (+1.35 Units / 8.65% ROI).

Panthers are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 52.2% ROI

Panthers are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Panthers are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Panthers defense has allowed first downs on 48% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Panthers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 38% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Panthers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Panthers defense has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 42% of plays on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 42% of pass attempts on first read passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Buccaneers have run 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Buccaneers have averaged -0.60 epa per play on contested throws this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.09.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers