The Kansas City Chiefs (6-8) enter this NFL Week 16 matchup with the Tennessee Titans (2-12) knowing they’ll miss the playoff for the first time in 11 years. KC will also be without star quarterback Patrick Mahomes, whose already begun the rehab for his torn ACL. Despite the low-stakes nature of this ballgame, as the Titans are eyeing another run at the NFL Draft’s top pick, DraftKings opens a set of compelling NFL player prop odds, including for Xavier Worthy to score an Anytime Touchdown with Gardner Minshew as his quarterback.

DraftKings Featured Prop: Xavier Worthy Anytime TD (+285)

DraftKings offers odds of +285 on Xavier Worthy to score a touchdown anytime against the Titans on Sunday.

Worthy enters this ballgame third on the team in targets (67) and fourth in receptions (40), with one touchdown so far this season.Dimers’ predictive model gives Worthy a 24.9% probability of scoring, making this prop a solid value compared to the implied odds.The Titans pass defense has surrendered six touchdowns to wide receivers over the last four weeks, tied for fifth-most in the league.

Note: Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Chiefs vs. Titans

Dimers’ NFL model ran 10,000 simulations for this matchup and points to a tight road win for Kansas City. The Chiefs show a 62 percent win probability compared to 38 percent for Tennessee, with the simulations landing on a Chiefs 21, Titans 18 final. The projection lines up with a modest Kansas City edge across efficiency and scoring consistency rather than a blowout script.

Best Bet: Chiefs Moneyline (-168)

With Dimers giving Kansas City a clear win probability edge, the moneyline offers a clean way to back the better side without worrying about margin. In a game projected to stay within one score, reducing spread risk makes sense.

NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown ProbabilitiesTeamPlayerAnytime TD ProbabilityChiefsKareem Hunt36.6%ChiefsRashee Rice34.6%ChiefsTravis Kelce28.6%ChiefsXavier Worthy24.9%ChiefsIsiah Pacheco24.9%TitansTony Pollard33.1%TitansTyjae Spears23.5%TitansChimere Dike21.8%TitansElic Ayomanor17.8%TitansGunnar Helm14.9%Conclusion: Chiefs vs. Titans

Kansas City’s edge shows up consistently across Dimers’ simulations, making the Chiefs moneyline the most straightforward position on the board. For player props, Xavier Worthy’s Anytime Touchdown (+285) stands out as an upside option. His probability sits just under 25 percent, and his Anytime TD odds typically come at a longer price than the top Kansas City skill players, offering a reasonable risk-reward profile if the Chiefs hit their projected scoring range.

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