NFC East rivals looking to finish out disappointing seasons meet when the Dallas Cowboys take on the Washington Commanders on Christmas Day. Dallas is coming off a 34-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, while Washington dropped a 29-18 decision to the Philadelphia Eagles on Saturday. The Cowboys (6-8-1), who have lost three in a row, are 2-5 on the road this season. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention. The Commanders (4-11), who have lost nine of 10, are 2-5 on their home field. It’s uncertain who Washington will start at quarterback with Jayden Daniels (elbow) shut down for the season and Marcus Mariota (hand/quad) missing practice on Monday.

Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Cowboys lead the all-time series 80-49-2, including wins in four of the last five meetings. The Cowboys are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Cowboys vs. Commanders odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 50.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Cowboys vs. Commanders picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 17 on a 52-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Cowboys vs. Commanders. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Cowboys vs. Commanders:

Cowboys vs. Commanders spread

Dallas -6.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Cowboys vs. Commanders over/under

50.5 points

Cowboys vs. Commanders money line 

Dallas -300, Washington +244

Cowboys vs. Commanders picks

See picks at SportsLine

Cowboys vs. Commanders streaming 

Netflix 

What you need to know about the Cowboys

Veteran quarterback Dak Prescott powers the Dallas offense. In 15 games this season, he has completed 68.5% of his passes for 4,175 yards and 28 touchdowns with 10 interceptions and a 100.0 rating. He has also carried 47 times for 154 yards (3.3 average) and two touchdowns. In Sunday’s loss to the Chargers, Prescott completed 21 of 30 passes for 244 yards and two touchdowns. He also rushed twice for 14 yards.

Wide receiver George Pickens is one of Prescott’s top targets. In 15 games, he has 88 receptions for 1,342 yards (15.3 average) and nine touchdowns. He has 21 explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 45, with 426 yards after the catch and 69 first-down conversions. In the loss to the Chargers, he caught seven passes for 130 yards (18.6 average) and one touchdown. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

What you need to know about the Commanders

With quarterbacks options dwindling, Washington might turn to veteran journeyman Josh Johnson. In three games, Johnson has completed 55.6% of his passes for 43 yards and one interception. Washington also signed Jeff Driskel this week to provide depth. 

Among Washington’s top receivers is veteran wide receiver Deebo Samuel. In 14 games, he has 68 receptions for 639 yards (9.4 average) and five touchdowns. He has eight explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 38, with 384 yards after the catch and 29 first-down conversions. In a 16-13 loss against Miami on Nov. 16, he caught seven passes for 74 yards and one touchdown. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Cowboys vs. Commanders picks

SportsLine’s model is going Over on the total, projecting 60 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Cowboys vs. Commanders, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Commanders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished up over $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception, and find out.