In the final game of a Christmas Day tripleheader in Week 17, the Denver Broncos (12-3) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (6-9) on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff from Geha Field at Arrowhead at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Broncos vs. Chiefs odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Broncos can clinch the AFC West Division title with a win over the Chiefs, combined with a loss by the LA Chargers. They had an 11-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 34-20 home loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars as 3.5-point favorites with the Over (46) cashing. They gave up 3 TD passes to Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence.

The Chiefs are down to their third-string quarterback as both Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew suffered season-ending injuries. It will be Chris Oladokun under center. He was a seventh-round draft pick of the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2022 and has thrown 16 passes in his 2-game career, all last week. The Chiefs have lost 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. Last week, they lost 26-9 to the Tennessee Titans as 3.5-point road favorites as the Under (37.5) cashed.

The Broncos beat the Chiefs 22-19 in Denver in Week 11 as 4.5-point underdogs with the Under (45) cashing.

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Broncos at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:29 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Broncos -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Chiefs +650 (bet $100 to win $650)Against the spread (ATS): Broncos -13 (-115) | Chiefs +13 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets

Broncos at Chiefs key injuries

Broncos

TE Nate Adkins (knee) outWR Pat Bryant (concussion) outLB Dre Greenlaw (hamstring) outLB Karene Reid (hamstring) outOL Luke Wattenberg (shoulder) out

Chiefs

LB Nick Bolton (illness) questionableTE Jake Briningstool (hamstring) outDE George Karlaftis (illness) questionableOL Jaylon Moore (knee) questionableDT Derrick Nnadi (illness) questionableWR Nikko Remigio (knee) questionableBroncos at Chiefs picks and predictionsPrediction

Broncos 24, Chiefs 6

The Chiefs struggled on Sunday against the Titans and now are down to Oladokun at quarterback. Facing the fourth-ranked defense in the Broncos, who have won 11 of their last 12, a win for the Chiefs seems vertually impossible.

The Broncos are vying for a division title and the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

Betting the Chiefs is basically a Hail Mary from your own territory. Betting Broncos ML has no value.

PASS.

The Chiefs, who are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games, lost by 17 to the Titans and didn’t manage to score a touchdown. The Broncos have an even better defense.

Denver hasn’t won by more than 13 since a 20-point win over the Dallas Cowboys on Oct. 26.

But Denver’s defense will overwhelm the Chiefs.

BET BRONCOS -13 (-115).

The Chiefs only managed 9 points against Tennessee. Denver has surpassed 30 points only once in its last 7 games, averaging 22.1 points per game.

The Chiefs’ last 3 games have not surpassed 35 total points.

BET UNDER 36.5 (-110).

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