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The NFL’s Christmas Day lineup is lacking serious holiday magic this year

Christmas Day 2025 is already looking like a bust for the NFL due to injuries and teams already eliminated from playoff contention.

Who will win on Christmas Day in NFL Week 17?

The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders play on Dec. 25 at the Commanders’ Northwest Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 17 schedule.

What do NFL Week 17 odds say about the Christmas Day football game? Who are NFL Week 17 predictions and NFL Week 17 picks taking in the game?

Which team has the best chance to win the game according to NFL Week 17 win probabilities?

Check out The Arizona Republic’s score prediction for the Christmas Day game, as well as Cowboys vs Commanders picks, odds and win chances for the Dec. 25 NFL Week 17 game, which can be seen at 11 a.m. MST on Netflix.

NFL Week 17 picks: Cowboys at Commanders | Lions at Vikings | Broncos at Chiefs | Texans at Chargers | Ravens at Packers | Seahawks at Panthers | Cardinals at Bengals | Steelers at Browns | Jaguars at Colts | Buccaneers at Dolphins | Patriots at Jets | Saints at Titans | Giants at Raiders | Eagles at Bills | Bears at 49ers | Rams at Falcons | The Republic’s score predictions

NFL Christmas Day prediction for Commanders vs Cowboys game

The Arizona Republic is predicting a 24-21 win for the Cowboys over the Commanders in the NFL Week 17 Christmas Day game.

Jeremy Cluff writes: “This game looked like it could have playoff implications before the season, but much to the dismay of Netflix, it is just an NFC East showdown, with Jayden Daniels out for the home team. Dallas beat Washington earlier this season in Dallas, 44-22. We expect a closer game this time around.”

NFL Christmas Day picks for Cowboys vs Commanders game

Will the Commanders or Cowboys win the Christmas Day game in NFL Week 17?

Bookies.com says to bet the under in the Cowboys vs Commanders game today.

Sports Betting Dime’s formula predicts an 8-point win for the Cowboys over the Commanders on Christmas.

Dimers.com’s final score prediction for Thursday’s first NFL game? Cowboys 27, Commanders 25.

Sportsnaut is predicting a 28-27 win for the Cowboys against the Commanders in NFL Week 17.

NFL Christmas Day win probabilities for Commanders vs Cowboys game

The Cowboys have a 56.1% chance to beat the Commanders on Christmas Day, according to ESPN.

The site gives the Commanders a 43.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 17 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

NFL Christmas Day odds for Cowboys vs Commanders game

The Cowboys are a 6.5-point favorite over the Commanders in NFL Week 17 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Dallas is -275 on the moneyline, while Washington is +220.

The over/under (point total) is set at 50.5 points.

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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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