The NFL season rolls on as week 17 rolls on as a pair of squads currently in the playoff picture search for a win when the Houston Texans take on the Los Angeles Chargers Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Texans vs. Chargers prediction. Houston comes in off a 23-21 home win over Las Vegas in their previous contest Sunday, failing to cover the line as a 14-point favorite. Los Angeles picked up a 34-17 road win over Dallas in their previous contest Sunday, winning outright as a 1.5-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Chargers own a 6-3 advantage, including a 34-24 road win in the most recent meeting October 2, 2022. The most recent matchup was a playoff tilt won by the Texans January 11, 2025 by a 32-12 score. Read more about this Texans vs. Chargers prediction! Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our NFL Picks!
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Terms & Conditions Texans Seeking to Stay Hot
Houston ran their win streak to seven as they held off a game Raiders squad at home in their previous contest. The Texans improved to 10-5 on the year and stood second in the AFC South, one game behind the Jaguars for the top spot. They own the final wild card spot in the AFC playoff picture. Against Las Vegas, Houston led 7-0 after the opening quarter, 13-7 at the half and 16-14 after three quarters. The Texans took a 23-14 lead early in the fourth quarter and managed to run out the final 5:24 after the Raiders closed back within two points. Houston was beaten 315-270 in total offense despite winning the first down battle 16-12 and owning a 31:46 to 28:14 edge in time of possession. The Texans forced the game’s lone turnover, a pick-six that opened the scoring.
On the year, Houston is 16th in passing offense with 217.2 yards per game through the air while they stand 23rd in rushing offense with 106.7 yards per contest. Houston is 19th in scoring offense with an average of 23.1 points per game while they are 1st in scoring defense by allowing 16.6 points per contest. C.J. Stroud has completed 243 of 372 passes for 2,628 yards with 16 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has been sacked 23 times while adding 204 yards on the ground. Davis Mills is 88 of 150 for 879 yards with five touchdowns against one interception plus 48 rushing yards and a score as the backup quarterback. Nick Chubb is second on the team on the ground with 121 carries for 505 yards and three scores. Jahwar Jordan (30 carries, 154 yards) and Woody Marks (167 carries, 584 yards, two TD) are next in line on the depth chart. In the passing game, Nico Collins is second on the team with 68 receptions for 1,060 yards and six scores this season. Xavier Hutchinson (28 catches, 323 yards, two TD), Christian Kirk (25 grabs, 241 yards, TD), Jayden Higgins (37 receptions, 414 yards, four TD), Marks (21 grabs, 204 yards, three TD) and Dalton Schultz (75 catches, 685 yards, three TD) are solid secondary options. Ka’imi Fairbairn hit all 24 extra point attempts and is 36 of 40 on field goal attempts with a long of 57 this season. Matthew Wright is two of two on extra points and four of four on field goal attempts with a long of 43.
Key Injury Report for Texans:
Los Angeles Battling in AFC West
Los Angeles won their fourth straight and seventh in the last eight games as they took down Dallas on the road Sunday. The Chargers improved to 11-4 on the year and are second in the AFC West, one game behind Denver for the top spot. They own the top wild card spot in the AFC playoff picture. Against Dallas, Los Angeles was even at seven after one quarter and took a 21-17 lead at intermission on the strength of a one-yard TD run by Justin Herbert with 19 seconds to play before halftime. The Chargers’ defense blanked the Cowboys in the second half to pull away for the win. Los Angeles racked up a 452-340 advantage in total offense, picked up 24 first downs while allowing 18, controlled the clock by a 34:27 to 25:33 margin and forced the game’s lone turnover in the win.
On the year, the Chargers are 13th in the league in passing offense with 220.2 yards per game while they are 6th in rushing offense with an average of 125.3 yards per contest. Los Angeles is 16th in the league in scoring offense with 23.3 points per contest and 8th in scoring defense by allowing an average of 20.1 points per contest. Justin Herbert has hit 319 of 480 passes for 3,491 yards with 25 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on the year. He has been sacked 49 times while ranking third on the team with 461 yards plus two scores on the ground. Trey Lance is seven of 13 for 90 yards plus 16 rushing yards as the backup. Kimani Vidal leads the team with 152 carries for 631 yards and three scores on the ground. Omarion Hampton (110 carries, 516 yards, three TD), Jaret Patterson (32 carries, 129 yards) and Najee Harris (15 carries, 61 yards) are next in line. Ladd McConkey is second on the team with 65 receptions for 758 yards and six scores. Keenan Allen (73 receptions, 724 yards, four TD), Quentin Johnston (46 catches, 637 yards, eight TD), tight end Oronde Gadsden II (44 grabs, 609 yards, two TD) and Tre’ Harris (27 catches, 288 yards, TD) are solid secondary options in the passing game. Cameron Dicker is 33 of 33 on extra point attempts and 36 of 38 on field goal attempts with a long of 59 this season.
Key Injury Report for Chargers:
Linebacker Denzel Perryman (suspension) is out. Texans vs. Chargers PickTexans vs. Chargers Moneyline Pick
Both teams are hot and are chasing their respective division leaders with two weeks to go in the regular season. The biggest thing that likely decides this contest is Houston’s pass rush against a banged up Chargers’ offensive line. Herbert has been hit more than any other quarterback in the league and has taken 49 sacks. Meanwhile, Houston’s defense has rung up 41 sacks on the season and they will be going after Herbert relentlessly. The Texans aren’t a great offensive unit but they are good enough to take advantage of opportunities to earn the win here and keep pressure on Jacksonville in the AFC South.
Texans vs. Chargers Over/Under Pick
Houston has stayed under the number in nine of their 15 games, with one push, on the year entering this game. The Texans lead the league in scoring defense, stand 4th in rushing defense (96.2 yards per game), third in interceptions (17) and first in passer rating allowed (74.1) on the year. Los Angeles has seen the under post an 8-6-1 mark in their 15 games in relation to the total this season. The Chargers split their eight home games in relation to the total though they have seen the under post a 4-1-1 mark in their last six games overall. With Houston’s aggressive and stingy defense, this game is a rock fight that winds up short of the mark.
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