Rams vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 17

The Rams are -8 point favorites vs the Falcons

Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points

Watch this game on ESPN | ESPD

The Los Angeles Rams (11-4-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (6-9-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).

The Rams vs. Falcons Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under

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Total

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Rams

Falcons

Rams vs. Falcons Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Falcons Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)

Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)

Davante Adams has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)

Puka Nacua has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today

Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 90% ROI)

Tyler Allgeier has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)

Rams Best Bets:

The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)

The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)

The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)

The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)

The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)

Falcons Best Bets:

The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)

The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)

The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)

The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.92 Units / 52% ROI)

The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 11-4 (+6.5 Units / 39.16% ROI).

Rams are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.24% ROI

Rams are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI

Rams are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / ROI

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 8-7 (+0.3 Units / 1.81% ROI).

Falcons are 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -28.31% ROI

Falcons are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI

Falcons are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have converted first downs on just 2 of 25 plays (8%) when their QB has scrambled this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Falcons have converted late downs on just 14 of 210 plays (7%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Falcons have gone three and out on 15% of their drives this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Falcons have run successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Falcons defense have allowed 14.3 yards per play open coverage since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9.2.

The Falcons defense has blitzed on 18% of plays this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Falcons defense have allowed 1.01 epa per play open coverage since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.

The Falcons defense has allowed a passer rating of 158.3 open coverage (25 Pass Attempts) since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 120.5.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons