The NFL‘s Divisional Round Weekend is here.
Four NFL playoff games are set to take place this weekend. The Denver Broncos are hosting the Buffalo Bills, the Seattle Seahawks are taking on the San Francisco 49ers, the New England Patriots are facing the Houston Texans and the Chicago Bears are facing the Los Angeles Rams.
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The winners of these four games will move on to the AFC and NFC Championship Games, respectively.
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) high fives fans after their game Saturday, December 20, 2025 at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. The Chicago Bears beat the Green Bay Packers 22-16 in overtime.© Mark Hoffman/Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.
(© Mark Hoffman/Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.)
ESPN’s computer model, the Football Power Index, has predicted the winner of all four games this weekend:
Broncos vs. Bills
Winner: Broncos, 50.7 percent chance
Seahawks vs. 49ers
Winner: Seahawks, 59.2 percent chance
Patriots vs. Texans
Winner: Patriots, 51.7 percent chance
Bears vs. Rams
Winner: Rams, 61.8 percent chance
How does ESPN’s computer model work?
ESPN’s computer is a projection-based model.
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“The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily,” ESPN writes.
This story was originally published by The Spun on Jan 16, 2026, where it first appeared in the NFL section. Add The Spun as a Preferred Source by clicking here.