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What Vegas’ betting numbers tell us about Seahawks vs. Patriots
HHouston Texans

What Vegas’ betting numbers tell us about Seahawks vs. Patriots

  • February 2, 2026

The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots meet on football’s biggest stage, with Super Bowl LX shaping up as a matchup between two franchises that know the spotlight well.

Kickoff is set for Sunday night, with Las Vegas oddsmakers giving Seattle a clear—but not overwhelming—edge heading into the game.

Here’s a look at the key betting lines, what they signal, and how bettors are reading this Seahawks-Patriots showdown.

Point Spread

Favorite: Seahawks -4.5

Opened at: Seahawks -3.5

According to DraftKings, Seattle enters the Super Bowl as a 4.5-point favorite after the line opened at Seahawks -3.5.

The early movement suggests bettors were quick to back Seattle, pushing the spread nearly a full point in their direction.

That shift further toward the 12th Man signals confidence in a Seahawks team that has been dominant—and at its worst, steady—on both sides of the ball, particularly in the postseason.

Seattle’s ability to control games defensively and capitalize on mistakes has made them a popular choice among bettors looking for a margin wider than a field goal.

New England, meanwhile, comes in as a clear underdog—but not one without intrigue.

The Patriots’ path to the Super Bowl has been defined by efficiency, situational football, and an ability to keep games close. Oddsmakers appear to respect that, keeping the spread under a touchdown despite Seattle’s momentum.

What “Seahawks -4.5” means:

Seahawks’ bettors need Seattle to win by five or more points

Patriots’ bettors are banking on New England keeping it close—or pulling off the outright upset

Moneyline

Seahawks: -238

Patriots: +195

The moneyline further reiterates the firm—but cautious—confidence in Seattle, especially by modern Super Bowl standards.

Bettors backing the Seahawks on the moneyline don’t need them to cover the spread, just win outright. The trade-off is the price: at -238, Seattle backers are paying a premium for that safety.

A $100 bet on the Seahawks’ moneyline would return roughly $142 total, while a $100 bet on New England at +195 would return $295 if the Patriots win.

That potential payout is what makes New England appealing to underdog bettors.

While this is technically Mike Vrabel’s first Super Bowl appearance as a head coach—and his first postseason run with the Patriots—there’s little reason to believe anyone on New England’s sideline will be unprepared for the moment.

The Patriots’ front office is more Super Bowl–battle-tested than any organization in professional football, and Vrabel brings his own championship pedigree, with three Super Bowl rings as a player and a track record of playoff overachievement with the historically underwhelming Titans.

All signs point to a Patriots team that will be ready when the lights come on, and that confidence will certainly entice those willing to take a risk for a much larger return.

Over/Under (Total Points)

Over/Under: 45.5

Opened at: 46.5

Oddsmakers are projecting a relatively controlled, lower-scoring Super Bowl.

The total dropping from 46.5 to 45.5 suggests early action on the under, with bettors anticipating a game dictated by defense, field position, and clock management rather than a shootout.

Seattle has shown an ability to slow games down when needed, leaning on its defense to protect leads. New England, meanwhile, has thrived in grinding, methodical games that limit possessions and force opponents to be patient.

In a Super Bowl where every mistake is magnified, Vegas appears to expect long drives, conservative decisions—and points coming at a premium.

Vegas sees Seattle as the better team, but not by a landslide.

The spread, moneyline, and total all point to a competitive Super Bowl where New England’s ability to keep things close will be tested against Seattle’s consistency and balance.

Copyright 2026 by KPRC Click2Houston – All rights reserved.

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