Keagan Smith provides his best bets along with top predictions and picks for 2026 NFL win totals, plus the lines for every team.
The NFL season just wrapped up less than two weeks ago as the Seattle Seahawks defeated the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX, but it never takes long for fans to look ahead to next year.
Now, fans and bettors alike can get an early look at betting lines for the 2026-27 campaign. DraftKings Sportsbook just dropped NFL win totals for all 32 teams — sometimes the best value can be had before free agency and the draft, so let the fun begin!
We’re taking a dive into these 2026 NFL win totals with insight into odds, top predictions, picks and best bets for these lines.
2026 NFL win totals on DraftKings Sportsbook
Experienced football bettors know the drill when it comes to win totals, especially since they’re a popular market for those who want to target some longer-term bets. For the uninitiated, these are pretty simple. If a line is set at 7.5 wins, you simply pick the team to go over or under that total. Easy enough, right?
First, we’ll take a look at some of the best bets and top picks for the win totals market. Opening lines for all 32 teams will also be provided at the bottom of this article for as well.
Atlanta Falcons over 6.5 wins (-130)
Over the last several years, terms like “mediocre,” “uninspiring,” and “average” have felt synonymous with professional football in Atlanta. The Falcons come off back-to-back seasons of eight wins and won seven games in three consecutive campaigns between 2021-23. We can debate the specifics of roster construction, draft decisions and free-agent signings all day long, but it seems this franchise always finds itself on the outside looking in at the Wild Card picture over the season’s final weeks. Even fellow Atlanta-based football program Georgia Tech won more games than the Falcons this past season despite playing a shorter schedule.
The treadmill of mediocrity is a tough sell for a fanbase, but bettors can capitalize on this. We’ve seen a safe floor for this roster over the last five years with varying degrees of talent on the roster and some not-so-great coaching staffs at the helm. The Falcons’ outlook for this season appears much brighter even without possession of their own first-round pick (owed to the Los Angeles Rams via a previous trade). Two-time Coash of the Year winner Kevin Stefanski brings his offensive expertise to Atlanta, and he’ll have some standout weapons to work with between Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts if the latter re-signs with the team. The defense was also somewhat respectable last season, and while there are holes to fill on both sides of the ball, it’s easy to see the Falcons winning eight-plus games in a weak NFC South.
In short, this team surely won’t get worse with improved coaching and roughly $26.5 million in available cap space. Over 6.5 wins in a notoriously poor division feels like a smash pick.
Kansas City Chiefs under 10.5 wins (-115)
The Chiefs opened last season with hopes of reaching their fourth consecutive Super Bowl. Instead, they missed the playoffs for the first time in over a decade as superstar quarterback and GOAT candidate Patrick Mahomes suffered a torn ACL down the home stretch of the schedule. Injuries to several other key players across the depth chart ended up dooming what was an already inconsistent campaign as Kansas City finished the regular season 6-11, the franchise’s worst record since 2012 before Andy Reid even arrived on the scene.
After winning over 10.5 games in seven straight seasons prior to 2025, as well as in 10 of 13 years under the direction of the renowned head coach, why should bettors fade the Chiefs now? Well, the team has displayed clear flaws over the last few seasons with a streaky offense, virtually no run game and a defense with slight signs of regression as well. Mahomes could possibly play from the jump in 2026 but may not possess the same mobility that makes his game so deadly, at least through the opening weeks as he works his way back from injury. Off-field concerns are swirling around top wideout Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce is past his prime, too.
With Kansas City $11 million over the cap as things currently stand, pathways to legitimate improvement may require significant gymnastics. The core isn’t getting any younger, either. With the Chiefs seemingly on the precipice of a retool, the writing is on the wall for under 10.5 wins.
Los Angeles Chargers over 10.5 wins (+110)
Generally, I personally prefer to avoid the lines in the double-digit range. However, I’m making an exception here for the Chargers. This past campaign was marred by bad luck, but in the end, they still managed to win 11 games for the second straight year under Jim Harbaugh, though both ended in Wild Card losses. Still, look at the circumstances — the offensive line was missing starters throughout the entire season which made life difficult to begin with, first-round running back Omarion Hampton spent much of his rookie year sidelined, and even Justin Herbert played through a hand injury down the stretch. It’s stunning this team even won double-digit games.
With the full offseason to get healthy and better luck on the injury report hopefully on deck, next season should be excellent for the Bolts. Simply staying healthier in the offensive trenches should solve a lot of the structural issues faced on that side of the ball. Couple a full-strength Hampton with almost $83 million in available cap space and suddenly the Chargers are cooking with gas. Yes, losing defensive coordinator Jesse Minter hurts, but there’s plenty of talent on the roster already and the team should add more firepower over the offseason. Plus, the regression for the Chiefs we wrote about earlier improves the outlook slightly during the division schedule.
Tennessee Titans under 6.5 wins (+110)
Consider me stunned that this line is set where it is. The Titans selected at No. 1 in last year’s NFL Draft and took Cam Ward, whose All-22 tape shows a much better quarterback than the box score may suggest. Outside of the now-sophomore gunslinger, there’s very little to feel great about as far as current roster talent and recent results are concerned. Tennessee comes off three straight seasons under the 6.5-win mark, tallying just three victories in each of the last two campaigns. Those did have less-than-stellar coaching from Brian Callahan, who was dismissed during 2025. Rob Saleh deserves more credit than he gets and will almost certainly be better as the team’s voice, but 6.5 wins assumes a lot of growth.
The Titans have $103.5 million in total cap space and $92 million in effective cap space, both of which lead the NFL. They can and will spend big this offseason to surround Ward with talent to try and take advantage of his rookie contract, and the hiring of Brian Daboll as the new OC sparks plenty of hope for the quarterback’s growth. Factor in that they’ll pick fourth in the draft order and winning four additional games than last year is very possible. It’s still going to be a difficult sell though, particularly in the AFC South. The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off playoff appearances and will surely remain in the mix. The Indianapolis Colts were awesome until Daniel Jones went down with a season-ending injury, so there’s certainly upside with them as well.
Will Tennessee make the jump this year? Probably not, so jump on the plus value with the under on this win total. It’s just a year too early, so check back in 2027 for a shot at the over.
New Orleans Saints over 7.5 wins (+100)
This one’s slightly trickier if you’re also planning to go over on the Falcons’ win total, but there’s room for these NFC South foes to both succeed. The Saints won six games this past season, which saw Spencer Rattler start the first half of the schedule before second-round rookie Tyler Shough took over in the second chunk. The latter looked shockingly good once he settled in despite having minimal weapons to work with beyond wideout Chris Olave, who he showed an instant connection with. Over his nine starts, Shough led New Orleans to five wins, even as an aging Alvin Kamara missed the final weeks. The team currently sits in the red as far as cap space goes, but a solid draft and some wizardry on the books could improve the outlook for a full season of a potential franchise quarterback… in a weak division as mentioned earlier, too.
Here are the lines for all 32 NFL teams’ win totals on DraftKings Sportsbook.
AFC East:
Buffalo Bills: 10.5
Miami Dolphins: 4.5
New England Patriots: 10.5
New York Jets: 5.5
AFC North:
Baltimore Ravens: 10.5
Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5
Cleveland Browns: 6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5
AFC South:
Houston Texans: 9.5
Indianapolis Colts: 8.5
Jacksonville Jaguars: 9.5
Tennessee Titans: 6.5
AFC West:
Denver Broncos: 9.5
Kansas City Chiefs: 10.5
Los Angeles Chargers: 10.5
Las Vegas Raiders: 5.5
NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys: 8.5
New York Giants: 7.5
Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5
Washington Commanders: 7.5
NFC North:
Chicago Bears: 9.5
Green Bay Packers: 10.5
Detroit Lions: 10.5
Minnesota Vikings: 8.5
NFC South:
Atlanta Falcons: 6.5
Carolina Panthers: 6.5
New Orleans Saints: 7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8.5
NFC West:
Arizona Cardinals: 4.5
Los Angeles Rams: 10.5
San Francisco 49ers: 10.5
Seattle Seahawks: 10.5