The days of Mel Kiper Jr. being among the premier NFL draft analysts are well behind us, but he deserves credit for his work as one of the pioneers in the NFL draft media landscape. To multiple generations of fans, he is the OG mock drafter, a practice that millions of analysts now partake in daily.
For that reason, it’s still fascinating to see what the 65-year-old thinks is going to happen in the upcoming draft.
Kiper dropped his 2026 mock draft 2.0 on Tuesday, and it’s sure to be a polarizing one among the Jets fanbase.
It’s a double-up on defense, and the second pick is not the status-quo prediction of Ohio State edge rusher Arvell Reese. In fact, it isn’t even an edge rusher.
Here are the first 16 picks of Kiper’s latest mock draft.
Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
New York Jets: Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
Arizona Cardinals: David Bailey, OLB Texas Tech
Tennessee Titans: Arvell Reese, LB, Ohio State
New York Giants: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
Cleveland Browns: Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
Washington Commanders: Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State
New Orleans Saints: Makai Lemon, WR, USC
Kansas City Chiefs: Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
Cincinnati Bengals: Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami
Miami Dolphins: Francis Mauigoa, OT/G, Miami
Dallas Cowboys: Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
Los Angeles Rams: Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
Baltimore Ravens: Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: C.J. Allen, LB, Georgia
New York Jets: Peter Woods, DT, Clemson
Kiper has the Jets taking Ohio State safety Caleb Downs with the second overall choice, a prediction that most Jets fans will either love or hate.
Many contend that Downs is the best player in the draft relative to his position. For obvious reasons, that makes him an appealing target for a Jets team that won three games last season, especially since their safety unit was a major weakness.
The concern with Downs revolves not around his own play, but the positional value of safety compared to positions like edge rusher and wide receiver. The strategy behind taking a safety second overall is questionable, no matter how great the prospect is. This is especially true when the Jets will have the option to choose between three fantastic edge rusher prospects and an elite wide receiver prospect.
At No. 16, Kiper has the Jets going with Clemson defensive tackle Peter Woods, a selection that has become more popular as of late.
Woods is only 20 years old and was the nation’s top defensive tackle recruit in the 2023 class, per ESPN. However, his stock is built more around potential than production, as he picked up just two sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, 14 total pressures, and 30 tackles in 12 games for Clemson last season.