A lot of what we knew about the 2026 NFL Draft is going to be shaken up. The Scouting Combine has that effect on things. This is the first chance we take the on-field production from the previous college season, and match it up with not just individual workouts, but more importantly, the team interviews behind closed doors that convince organizations on their guys.
If you think the Combine doesn’t matter, then look at last year. Entering Indianapolis, we had James Pearce Jr. locked as a Top 10 pick, and he ended up falling to No. 26 because his interview caused a lot of teams to pull him off their boards (they were right). Jaxson Dart was seen a fridge 2nd or 3rd round pick, but the combine began the process that pushed him up to No. 25. While we’re largely past the “workout warrior” fanaticism that led to so many busted picks in the 2000s and early 2010s, there’s still a lot a prospect can do that either helps, or hurts them at Indy.
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Here’s my final mock draft ahead of the workouts and meetings, as well as some notes on who I think could really rise or fall after the weekend.
Pick
Team
Player
Position
School
Team needs
1
Las Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza
QB
Indiana
QR/WR/IOL
2
New York Jets
Arvell Reese
LB
Ohio State
QB/LB/WR
3
Arizona Cardinals
Francis Mauigoa
OT
Miami
OT/EDGE/LB
4
Tennessee Titans
Rueben Bain
EDGE
Miami
EDGE/WR/LB
5
New York Giants
Spencer Fano
OT
Utah
OT/WR/CB
6
Cleveland Browns
Carnell Tate
WR
Ohio State
OT/WR/IOL
7
Washington Commanders
David Bailey
EDGE
Texas Tech
EDGE/S/LB
8
New Orleans Saints
Jordyn Tyson
WR
Arizona State
WR/RB/EDGE
9
Kansas City Chiefs
Jeremiyah Love
RB
Notre Dame
RB/WR/EDGE
10
Cincinnati Bengals
Caleb Downs
S
Ohio State
EDGE/S/CB
11
Miami Dolphins
Mansoor Delane
CB
LSU
CB/WR/EDGE
12
Dallas Cowboys
Keldric Faulk
EDGE
Auburn
EDGE/LB/CB
13
Los Angeles Rams (from Falcons)
Jermod McCoy
CB
Tennessee
CB/S/OT
14
Baltimore Ravens
Makai Lemon
WR
USC
IOL/WR/EDGE
15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cashius Howell
EDGE
Texas A&M
EDGE/LB/TE
16
New York Jets (from Colts)
Avieon Terrell
CB
Clemson
CB/S/DL
17
Detroit Lions
Akheem Mesidor
EDGE
Miami
EDGE/OT/CB
18
Minnesoa Vikings
Colton Hood
CB
Tennessee
CB/S/DL
19
Carolina Panthers
Peter Woods
DT
Clemson
DL/TE/EDGE
20
Dallas Cowboys (from Packers)
Sonny Styles
LB
Ohio State
EDGE/LB/CB
21
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denzel Boston
WR
Washington
QB/WR/CB
22
Los Angeles Chargers
Olaivavega Ioane
IOL
Penn State
IOL/DL/EDGE
23
Philadelphia Eagles
Caleb Lomu
OT
Utah
OT/TE/EDGE
24
Cleveland Browns (from Jaguars)
Monroe Freeling
OT
Georgia
OT/WR/IOL
25
Chicago Bears
Caleb Banks
DT
Florida
DL/EDGE/S
26
Buffalo Bills
Kevin Concepcion
WR
Texas A&M
WR/EDGE/LB
27
San Francisco 49ers
T.J. Parker
EDGE
Clemson
WR/OT/EDGE
28
Houston Texans
Kayden McDonald
DT
Ohio State
OT/DL/IOL
29
Los Angeles Rams
Emmanuael McNeil-Warren
S
Toledo
CB/S/OT
30
Denver Broncos
C.J. Allen
LB
Georgia
LB/TE/DL
31
New England Patriots
Blake Miller
OT
Clemson
OT/EDGE/WR
32
Seattle Seahawks
Brandon Cisse
CB
South Carolina
CB/EDGE/IOL
What I think will change after the combine
No. 1: A quarterback is going to make a big jump
It’s widely accepted that the only QB worth a damn in this class is Fernando Mendoza, but I’m not sold on this at all — at least when it comes to who will be taken in the first round. It was really tempting to mock a QB to the Steelers, but I’m not even sure Pittsburgh knows that they’re doing at the position at this point.
Ty Simpson is really going to impress teams in Indianapolis. I think he’s going to interview really well, and I’ll tell you the idea I can’t shake: Simpson to the Rams at No. 13. That was the pick they got from the Falcons last year, and it’s a rare case where they could find their QB of the future with a selection they never should have gotten, setting them up for another decade.
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There’s a lot of similarities between Simpson and Matthew Stafford when he was coming out of college. I could really see Sean McVay and Co. loving the idea of grabbing him early, stashing him for a year or two under Stafford, and having a seamless transition when the reigning MVP is ready to retire.
Outside of that, keep an eye on Cole Payton out of North Dakota State. Here’s a guy who was trending as a late-round pick, but there have been some murmurs about him. There’s a serious chance he could sneak into the 2nd or 3rd round conversation — perhaps even higher.
No. 2: Caleb Downs has everything to win or lose in Indy
There’s no doubt that safety is the most bizarrely devalued defensive position in the NFL right now. Bad teams keep ignoring getting an upgrade at safety, which has allowed good teams to snatch them up and turn them into difference makers. Look no further than Kyle Hamilton with the Ravens, or Nick Emmanwori and the Seahawks.
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Caleb Downs might be the single best all-around safety I have seen enter the pros. The biggest knock on him is that he’s a little undisciplined as a pass rusher, but thats such a small knock for the considerable upside he offers in every other area of the game.
Right now I have him going to the Bengals at No. 10, which is the perfect pick for them. That said, a smart team could grab him sooner — or Cincinnati will get cold feet based on his drills and pass him down to a better team. There’s a lot to be gained or lost through how Downs interviews and performs in Indy, and that could determine if he’s a Top 10 pick, or headed to a playoff team.
No. 3: Does Jeremiyah Love climb even more?
Right now I have him going No. 9 to the Chiefs, as a lot of mocks tend to do — but we’ve seen this pattern lately of running backs climbing higher than most mocks have them going. Ashton Jeanty is a great example of this, as he was mocked outside of the Top 10 ahead of the combine, then climbed all the way to the No. 6 pick.
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There are several RB-need teams higher up in the Top 10, and the drop off at the position following Love is massive. It wouldn’t surprise me if there’s some talk about him rising after Indianapolis.