{"id":101065,"date":"2025-06-03T16:17:13","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T16:17:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/101065\/"},"modified":"2025-06-03T16:17:13","modified_gmt":"2025-06-03T16:17:13","slug":"a-dozen-wins-quote-the-ravens-over-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/101065\/","title":{"rendered":"A Dozen Wins? Quote The Ravens, Over More"},"content":{"rendered":"

A Dozen Wins? Quote The Ravens, Over More<\/a> originally appeared on Athlon Sports<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Why the betting market’s lukewarm take on the Ravens is horribly misplaced…<\/p>\n

Call me a Lamar Jackson apologist if you like, but any take outside of unbridled bullishness for Baltimore is planting a flag on the wrong side of history. After three first-team All-Pros, three AFC Player Of The Years, two Bert Bell awards, and a couple of NFL MVPs, the betting market’s experiencing greatness fatigue. Baltimore wrapped up 2024 with 12 wins, after greatly improving the defense mid-stream \u2014 yet their opening line for this upcoming season hasn’t budged.<\/p>\n

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The Ravens’ offense dominated their opposition last season across every macro metric on the spreadsheet. Sometimes, the ranked stats speak for themselves…<\/p>\n

30.5 Points Per Game: 3rd<\/p>\n

9.2 Average Point Differential: T-3rd<\/p>\n

424.9 Yards Per Game: 1st<\/p>\n

101 Net Yard Differential: 1st<\/p>\n

38.6 Average Drive Distance: 1st<\/p>\n

2.2 First Downs Per Drive: T-2nd<\/p>\n

I alluded to a defensive move that made such an impact, frankly I was shocked to see their baseline win total open short of 13. Right around the Ravens’ bye last year, DC Zach Orr moved former Notre Dame safety Kyle Hamilton from a versatile box\/slot role to a more conventional full-time free safety. And the results were palpable.<\/p>\n

Baltimore’s pre and post bye splits jump off the page. What if they pick up in 2025 right where they left off?<\/p>\n

Points Allowed Per Game: 24.5 \u23e9 10.8<\/p>\n

Yards Allowed Per Game: 347.6 \u23e9 248.0<\/p>\n

Yards Allowed Per Play: 5.4 \u23e9\u00a04.3<\/p>\n

EPA\/Snap: -0.03 \u23e9 +0.21<\/p>\n

To top it off, the Ravens bolstered multiple levels of their defense with first-round pick S Malaki Starks (Georgia) and second-round selection DE Mike Green (Marshall). If they get anything from these youngsters, BAL could lead the league in victories running away.<\/p>\n

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LAGHEZZA’S LEAN:<\/p>\n

One look at the schedule, and I shifted from leaning to betting in an instant. Baltimore plays in a winnable division as a class above the Steelers and Browns \u2014 then gets the AFC East, who they should demolish outside of Buffalo.<\/p>\n

Sign me up for BALTIMORE RAVENS OVER 11.5 WINS (-110) on Fanduel<\/p>\n

Thanks so much reading, it’s been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends in the Athlon universe. If you’re interested in upping your analytical game, come find out what all the hub-bub’s about regarding my best-selling Substack page<\/a>. Don’t be shy \u2014 reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I’ll hook you up with a free trial.<\/p>\n

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This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports<\/a> on Jun 3, 2025, where it first appeared.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A Dozen Wins? Quote The Ravens, Over More originally appeared on Athlon Sports. Why the betting market’s lukewarm…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101066,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2052],"tags":[184,117,2282,7,1506,895,890,276,6,169,426,2850],"class_list":{"0":"post-101065","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-baltimore-ravens","8":"tag-baltimore","9":"tag-baltimore-ravens","10":"tag-baltimoreravens","11":"tag-football","12":"tag-kyle-hamilton","13":"tag-lamar-jackson","14":"tag-malaki-starks","15":"tag-mike-green","16":"tag-nfl","17":"tag-ravens","18":"tag-steelers","19":"tag-the-ravens"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/114620337040357309","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101065","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101065"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101065\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101066"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}