Todays Matchup Details<\/p>\n
\nWeek 5 Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 11th
11\/10\/26 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff\n<\/p>\n
Positives for the Baltimore Ravens Game Today<\/p>\n
This week\u2019s spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Falcons, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.<\/p>\n
,Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to run on 49.8% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.<\/p>\n
,This week, Bijan Robinson is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 98th percentile among running backs with 20.6 carries.<\/p>\n
,Bijan Robinson has garnered 69.1% of his team\u2019s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.<\/p>\n
,Bijan Robinson has averaged 74.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to RBs (98th percentile).<\/p>\n
,The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (29.2 per game) this year.<\/p>\n
,Since the start of last season, the shaky Ravens defense has given up the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a colossal 7.91 yards.<\/p>\n
,Kyle Pitts has run a route on 87.2% of his team\u2019s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.<\/p>\n
,The model projects Kyle Pitts to accumulate 3.8 targets in this week\u2019s game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.<\/p>\n
,When it comes to air yards, Kyle Pitts grades out in the towering 97th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a massive 46.0 per game.<\/p>\n
,The projections expect Drake London to garner 7.8 targets in this week\u2019s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.<\/p>\n
,Drake London has accumulated a whopping 86.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wide receivers.<\/p>\n
,With a remarkable 68.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London rates among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.<\/p>\n
,At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are giant underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.<\/p>\n
,This game will be played in a dome\u2014meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.<\/p>\n
,Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: most in football.<\/p>\n
,This week, Mark Andrews is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.2 targets.<\/p>\n
,When it comes to air yards, Mark Andrews ranks in the towering 83rd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 32.0 per game.<\/p>\n
,In this week\u2019s game, Zay Flowers is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.1 targets.<\/p>\n
,Zay Flowers checks in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 60.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.<\/p>\n
,At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.<\/p>\n
,In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the model to land in the 87th percentile among running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.<\/p>\n
,Derrick Henry has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (104.0) this season than he did last season (88.0).<\/p>\n
,With an outstanding record of 3.58 yards after contact (78th percentile), Derrick Henry places among the most efficient running backs in the NFL this year.<\/p>\n
Negatives with the Atlanta Falcons Game Today<\/p>\n
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.<\/p>\n
,The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a lowly 43.8 per game on average).<\/p>\n
,The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still \u201cweather\u201d conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.<\/p>\n
,The Ravens defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding just 3.77 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).<\/p>\n
,As it relates to the defensive tackles\u2019 role in stopping the run, Baltimore\u2019s DT corps has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.<\/p>\n
,The model projects the Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.<\/p>\n
,The Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.72 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in football.<\/p>\n
,Kyle Pitts\u2019s 29.7% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season\u2019s 75.7% rate.<\/p>\n
,The Ravens pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.80 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.<\/p>\n
,At the present time, the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Ravens.<\/p>\n
,Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by the model to call just 60.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.<\/p>\n
,While Mark Andrews has garnered 25.4% of his team\u2019s targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Baltimore\u2019s passing offense in this week\u2019s contest at 20.4%.<\/p>\n
,As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.<\/p>\n
,Mark Andrews\u2019s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 74.8% to 71.4%.<\/p>\n
,The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to be a less important option in his offense\u2019s rushing attack in this game (59.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.6% in games he has played).<\/p>\n
,Opposing teams have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 38.0 per game) vs. the Falcons defense this year.<\/p>\n
Latest Atlanta Falcons Matches<\/p>\n
Latest Baltimore Ravens Matches<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Todays Matchup Details Week 5 Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta FalconsTodays Game is on Sunday, October 11th11\/10\/26 20:20:00 PM…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":989436,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[25839,254,131419,117,198,49709,7,6,84],"class_list":["post-1024330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl-playoffs","tag-atl","tag-atlanta-falcons","tag-bal","tag-baltimore-ravens","tag-featured","tag-feed","tag-football","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-playoffs"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/117420416302158316","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1024330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1024330"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1024330\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/989436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1024330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1024330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1024330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}