Todays Matchup Details<\/p>\n
\nWeek 10 Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 15th
15\/11\/26 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff\n<\/p>\n
Positives for the Miami Dolphins Game Today<\/p>\n
The Dolphins may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Kyle McCord.<\/p>\n
,The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week\u2019s contest, which points towards a passing game script.<\/p>\n
,This game will be played in a dome\u2014meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.<\/p>\n
,The projections expect Greg Dulcich to accumulate 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.<\/p>\n
,Greg Dulcich has posted far more air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (17.0 per game).<\/p>\n
,The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 59.9 per game on average).<\/p>\n
,This year, the porous Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 87.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the worst rate in the NFL.<\/p>\n
,The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 9.11 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.<\/p>\n
,The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.<\/p>\n
,The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 9.43 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.<\/p>\n
,The Colts pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.<\/p>\n
,While Laquon Treadwell has garnered 10.8% of his team\u2019s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Indianapolis\u2019s passing attack in this game at 17.0%.<\/p>\n
,After accumulating 0.0 air yards per game last year, Laquon Treadwell has gotten better this year, now boasting 44.0 per game.<\/p>\n
,The Dolphins pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (74.5%).<\/p>\n
Negatives with the Indianapolis Colts Game Today<\/p>\n
The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.<\/p>\n
,The predictive model expects the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.<\/p>\n
,The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.<\/p>\n
,Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: fewest in football.<\/p>\n
,Greg Dulcich\u2019s 77.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season\u2019s 82.4% mark.<\/p>\n
,This week\u2019s line implies a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3.5 points.<\/p>\n
,With a 59.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Indianapolis Colts.<\/p>\n
,The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.<\/p>\n
,Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.<\/p>\n
,The Colts offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.<\/p>\n
,The Dolphins O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.<\/p>\n
,With a poor 57.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Laquon Treadwell places among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wideouts.<\/p>\n
Latest Indianapolis Colts Matches<\/p>\n
Latest Miami Dolphins Matches<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Todays Matchup Details Week 10 Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis ColtsTodays Game is on Sunday, November 15th15\/11\/26 13:00:00 PM…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":989436,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[198,49709,7,76528,392,129987,251,6,84],"class_list":["post-1051738","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl-playoffs","tag-featured","tag-feed","tag-football","tag-ind","tag-indianapolis-colts","tag-mia","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-playoffs"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nfl\/117596828683047241","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1051738","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1051738"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1051738\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/989436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1051738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1051738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1051738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}