{"id":110392,"date":"2025-06-07T05:08:13","date_gmt":"2025-06-07T05:08:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/110392\/"},"modified":"2025-06-07T05:08:13","modified_gmt":"2025-06-07T05:08:13","slug":"jets-stanley-cup-window-a-byfuglien-replacement-and-logan-stanley-mailbag-part-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nfl\/110392\/","title":{"rendered":"Jets\u2019 Stanley Cup window, a Byfuglien replacement and Logan Stanley: Mailbag, part 1"},"content":{"rendered":"

Winnipeg\u2019s Stanley Cup-winning window is open. It has to be, given the Presidents\u2019 Trophy winners\u2019 heavy veteran investment.<\/p>\n

But how long will it last? And what has to go right to keep Winnipeg on the winning track?<\/p>\n

Our June mailbag focuses on the Jets\u2019 urgency \u2014 the best way to keep the Cup contention window open, Winnipeg\u2019s path to second-line centres and big, mobile defencemen, a thought on aging curves, Logan Stanley, Dustin Byfuglien, Elias Salomonsson and more.<\/p>\n

How do the Jets go from 2024-25 second-round exit to a Stanley Cup?<\/p>\n

Note: Submitted questions have been edited for clarity and length.<\/p>\n

Based on your analysis, how would you assess the Jets\u2019 current window for Stanley Cup contention? What key factors or best-case scenarios would need to align for them to continue making a serious push? \u2014 Ryan F.<\/p>\n

Winnipeg is heavily invested in star players \u2014 Mark Scheifele, Connor Hellebuyck, Josh Morrissey \u2014 on the wrong side of 30 years old. If reading that sentence doesn\u2019t create a heightened sense of urgency, read the latest work on aging curves in the NHL<\/a>. If Scheifele ages like the average NHL forward has aged from 2007-2025, he may have two seasons of No. 1 centre quality left in him before a dramatic decline.<\/p>\n

But Scheifele\u2019s a freak of nature! He\u2019ll stay great way longer than the average NHL forward!<\/p>\n

I mean, that could be true. Scheifele is freakishly dedicated to off-ice rehabilitation and plays a more cerebral game than one that depends on explosiveness. But I\u2019ve heard those arguments before. They were made about Blake Wheeler, who affected five-on-five play like a middle-six winger from age 34 onward, after a decade as one of the best five-on-five players in the world. Scheifele just turned 32.<\/p>\n

Winnipeg needs to address its second-line centre issue\u00a0now. Not at the trade deadline, not next summer, not in the form of Brayden Yager or Kieron Walton or their first-round draft pick. The Jets don\u2019t have time to waste, because their ability to contend depends on top-quality centres who win their minutes. Scheifele is doing that now \u2014 and so is Adam Lowry, who also just turned 32 \u2014 but Winnipeg needs its next wave to arrive while Scheifele and Lowry are still at the top of their game.<\/p>\n

One best-case scenario on this front: What if Gabriel Vilardi or Cole Perfetti are the answer, despite the Jets\u2019 concerns about their footspeed?<\/p>\n

Another depends on Connor Hellebuyck delivering his regular-season results \u2014 or close to \u2014 in the Stanley Cup playoffs.<\/p>\n

Those are wishful, passive suggestions. Another option is striking for a second-line centre this summer, while I think a key to unlocking Hellebuyck is augmenting Winnipeg\u2019s cerebral top-four defence with a Byfuglien-esque bulldozer to open up his sight lines.<\/p>\n

How can the Jets address their recurring need for a second-line centre? Trading a first-round pick at every deadline significantly depletes their assets. \u2014 Travis R.<\/p>\n

What about trading a first-round pick at the draft?<\/p>\n

What are the odds the #NHLJets<\/a> make their first round pick this year? @hustlerama<\/a> asked @wpgmurat<\/a> earlier this week@BenMossJeweller<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/O9b3QbYtco<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Winnipeg Sports Talk (@SportsTalkWPG) June 2, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n

Murat, you mentioned that Chevy seems to have admitted he overestimated Logan Stanley\u2019s ceiling based on some plays in the playoffs against Montreal. Does this signal the Jets may be ready to move on from him either via waivers, trade or make him a press box regular? \u2014 Andywpg<\/p>\n

You\u2019ve characterized Kevin Cheveldayoff\u2019s comments correctly, Andy, but let\u2019s start by making sure everyone has the context.<\/p>\n

In January, I was one of a couple of reporters who had the chance to sit down with Cheveldayoff for about an hour at the Jets hotel in Denver. Logan Stanley was a huge talking point for fans at the time \u2014 he\u2019d been booed by a smattering of fans at Canada Life Centre after a mistake helped end Connor Hellebuyck\u2019s shutout bid against Vancouver. Cheveldayoff was asked several questions about Stanley\u2019s status in the lineup.<\/p>\n

Cheveldayoff was adamant that he doesn\u2019t tell his coaches who to put in the lineup. He acknowledged no NHL player is perfect and pointed out Stanley played several games during the Jets\u2019 15-1 start to the season.<\/p>\n

I made the point that Cheveldayoff may not tell his coaches who to play in the lineup, but he does control who Winnipeg has available on the roster. I noted that the Jets protected Stanley in the 2021 expansion draft and lost Johnathan Kovacevic and Declan Chisholm to waivers at consecutive training camps.<\/p>\n

Cheveldayoff rooted his response in Winnipeg\u2019s decision-making heading into Seattle\u2019s expansion draft.<\/p>\n

\u201cEveryone seems to forget the role that he played (in the 2021 playoffs) in winning four straight against Edmonton. He was a regular shift player, he played all the games. We go into Montreal, he\u2019s the one that scores the two goals in Montreal. So he\u2019s on a pretty good trajectory as a developing player at that point in time,\u201d Cheveldayoff said. He went on to talk about Stanley\u2019s injuries, suggesting that they may have stalled or at least changed Stanley\u2019s development path.<\/p>\n

I bristle at this, given how clear it was that Winnipeg kept Stanley miles from top-six competition<\/a>, but that\u2019s beside the point. Cheveldayoff\u2019s estimation of Stanley\u2019s ceiling was higher coming off his 2021 playoffs than it is now.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t share your conclusion, though. (And do I detect notes of hopefulness in your question?)<\/p>\n

Stanley played 63 games this season and was a fixture in Winnipeg\u2019s April roster until injuries derailed his playoffs. He\u2019s one of seven defencemen under contract for next season (eight when Dylan Samberg signs), and he\u2019s played 70 more games than his closest competition (Heinola) at the edge of the roster. If somebody gets traded or committed to the press box, I think it\u2019s Heinola, who went over a month between games multiple times, even after returning to full health.<\/p>\n

One of Stanley\u2019s roles on the Jets roster is to take a few fights each year off Adam Lowry\u2019s fight card, especially following Brenden Dillon\u2019s 2024 departure.<\/p>\n

By the way, if you\u2019re looking for a surprise on defence, this one might count: Heinola is just 24 years old but is on track to become an unrestricted free agent next summer. The Jets need to play him in 27 or more games next season to retain his rights, lest he become a Group VI UFA. Heinola\u2019s trade value is negligible, given his lack of NHL games this far into his career, but the Jets may soon add Heinola to the list of players outlasted by their belief in Stanley\u2019s potential.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Logan Stanley and Washington\u2019s Tom Wilson exchange words in a March regular-season game. (Cameron Bartlett \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n

You have mentioned that the Jets need a \u201cByfuglien-esque\u201d player a few times. Big Buff is a unicorn, but:\u00a0Can you identify some players who fit this mold currently in the league who could be available (including asking price, no-trade clauses, and realism?) \u2014 Duane W.<\/p>\n

What a wild needle to try to thread. There isn\u2019t a modern-day Dustin Byfuglien available, but we can try to recreate him in the aggregate.<\/p>\n

So, a big, mobile, offensively talented, defensively imposing right-shot defenceman. We could also force Josh Morrissey or Dylan Samberg to play on their off-hand side, if you\u2019ve found a way to pry Victor Hedman from Tampa Bay. (I wish you\u2019d let me use Miro Heiskanen as a solution here \u2014 he\u2019s a left-shot D but excels on both sides.)<\/p>\n

Vladislav Gavrikov is a left-shot pending UFA who plays with the right combination of snarl and smarts to keep a clean defensive zone while playing heavy minutes against top competition. His impact is exactly what you want from a top-four defenceman: Gavrikov makes it painful to get to the front of the net and hard to win pucks on the boards \u2014 all while moving the puck well enough to play in the modern NHL.<\/p>\n

A scroll through our latest trade board yields names like Rasmus Andersson, K\u2019Andre Miller and Connor Murphy.<\/p>\n

Murphy is a big right-hander who has one year left on his $4.4 million contract in Chicago. He has more defensive quality to him than poor counting stats in Chicago imply, with strong underlying numbers protecting the middle of the ice and plenty of hits and blocks. However, he has a 10-team no-trade clause and might not feel like a substantial enough upgrade on Neal Pionk or Dylan DeMelo in the top four, despite playing a more rugged style.<\/p>\n

Rasmus Andersson\u2019s recent defensive numbers are porous, but he\u2019s produced a lot of points from the Flames\u2019 right side. He has a six-team no-trade clause on his $4.55 million contract, which ends next summer. (My ideal Flames acquisition for Winnipeg would be MacKenzie Weegar, who is a right-shot defenceman who plays both sides well, protects the middle of the ice, and has all of the talented truculence I\u2019ve been campaigning for \u2026 but he has a full no-trade clause and Calgary is heavily invested in him.)<\/p>\n

K\u2019Andre Miller is a big, mobile, Minnesotan who needs a new RFA contract this summer and is eligible for UFA status in 2027. The 25-year-old is a productive, elite skater whose career arc seems worthy of long-term investment, although he\u2019s not the right-shot defenceman you seek. He doesn\u2019t have no-trade protection, which helps, but his proximity to UFA status comes with some risk.<\/p>\n

The more words I write on the topic, the more ready I am to see what Elias Salomonsson looks like in a third-pairing role this season, with occasional bumps up to Josh Morrissey\u2019s side as performance merits. It seems more likely that the Jets want Salomonsson to keep developing in the AHL, given the number of defencemen they have under contract and Salomonsson\u2019s two remaining ELC years.<\/p>\n

If you believe that there is a time crunch on Winnipeg\u2019s window to win, you\u2019d want to take that chance. Salomonsson may be \u201conly\u201d 21 years old, but the Jets were just beaten in the playoffs by a team with a 21-year-old (Lian Bichsel) on its third pair.<\/p>\n

(Top photo of Mark Scheifele, Adam Lowry and Josh Morrissey: Nick Wosika \/ Imagn Images)<\/p>\n